Bristol Rovers vs Stevenage Borough – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
21/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 44
  • Referee: Doughty L. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.401.26
Ball Possession
71%29%
Total shots
116
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
75% (311/414)57% (101/178)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.401.26
xG on target (xGOT)
0.571.84
Total shots
116
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
61
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
1617
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
1611
Passes
75% (311/414)57% (101/178)
Long passes
38% (24/64)26% (14/53)
Passes in final third
66% (87/131)53% (39/73)
Crosses
20% (6/30)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
0.690.27
Fouls
1116
Tackles
79% (11/14)76% (16/21)
Duels won
5055
Clearances Total
2248
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.840.57
Goals prevented
0.840.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Reid J. , List E. (A),
  • 28', Forster-Caskey J. , White H. ,
  • 32', Sotiriou R. , Hutchinson I. ,
  • 36', White H. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Moore T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 49', List E. 🟨,
  • 53', Thompson L. 🟨,
  • 63', Moore T. , Sinclair S. ,
  • 63', Butcher M. , Forde S. ,
  • 68', Edwards K. , Phillips D. ,
  • 68', List E. , Hanlan B. ,
  • 81', Freestone L. , Butler D. ,
  • 81', Reid J. , Sweeney D. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bristol Rovers
36.7%
Draw
30.6%
Stevenage Borough
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.8% 28.4% 40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32% 27.3% 39.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bristol Rovers's performance.
  • Stevenage Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stevenage Borough might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stevenage Borough could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Bristol Rovers - Stevenage Borough Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.56
    (3.07)
    3.1
    (3.33)
    2.88
    (2.32)
    6.1%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers - Stevenage Borough?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Stevenage will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bristol Rovers: 57.1%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bristol Rovers (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Bristol Rovers (1.77) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +0.5 - Bristol Rovers (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Bristol Rovers (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Bristol Rovers (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 15).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 2.
    • Bristol Rovers has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Stevenage is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Conteh K. (Knee Injury) Martin C. (Injury) Omochere P. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Stevenage: Smith K. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Senior J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Stevenage: Freeman N. (Injury)
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:11 (average 1.1:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Bristol Rovers won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:6 (average 0.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol Rovers - Stevenage Borough were as follows:
    29.12.2024 Stevenage Borough - Bristol Rovers 3:0
    13.02.2024 Stevenage Borough - Bristol Rovers 2:3
    24.10.2023 Bristol Rovers - Stevenage Borough 1:1
    Latest results of Bristol Rovers
    Latest results of Stevenage Borough
    English League One Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln ✔ 463110589:4148103
    2Cardiff ✔ 462710990:504091
    3Stockport County4622111371:581377
    4Bradford City4622111358:51777
    5Bolton ✔ 461918970:521875
    6Stevenage4621121349:46375
    7Luton4621111468:561274
    8Plymouth462271775:631273
    9Huddersfield4618131574:641067
    10Mansfield4616171362:501265
    11Wycombe4617121769:581163
    12Reading4616151564:60463
    13Blackpool461792054:65-1160
    14Doncaster461792050:69-1960
    15Barnsley4615141768:73-559
    16Wigan4614141849:58-956
    17Burton4613151850:60-1054
    18Peterborough461582364:68-453
    19AFC Wimbledon461582351:72-2153
    20Leyton Orient4614102259:71-1252
    21Exeter4612132152:61-949
    22Port Vale ✔ 4610122436:61-2542
    23Rotherham ✔ 4610112541:71-3041
    24Northampton ✔ 46982939:74-3535

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
    Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
    Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
    Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
    Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
    Northampton is Relegated to League Two