Bristol Rovers vs Stevenage Borough – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League One
Result
0:1
21/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League One - Round 44
  • Referee: Doughty L. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.401.26
Ball Possession
71%29%
Total shots
116
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
75% (311/414)57% (101/178)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.401.26
xG on target (xGOT)
0.571.84
Total shots
116
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
61
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
1617
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
1611
Passes
75% (311/414)57% (101/178)
Long passes
38% (24/64)26% (14/53)
Passes in final third
66% (87/131)53% (39/73)
Crosses
20% (6/30)20% (1/5)
Expected assists (xA)
0.690.27
Fouls
1116
Tackles
79% (11/14)76% (16/21)
Duels won
5055
Clearances Total
2248
Interceptions
48
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.840.57
Goals prevented
0.840.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 12', 0 - 1, Reid J. ⚽, List E. (A),
  • 28', Forster-Caskey J. ↓, White H. ↑,
  • 32', Sotiriou R. ↓, Hutchinson I. ↑,
  • 36', White H. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Moore T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 49', List E. 🟨,
  • 53', Thompson L. 🟨,
  • 63', Moore T. ↓, Sinclair S. ↑,
  • 63', Butcher M. ↓, Forde S. ↑,
  • 68', Edwards K. ↓, Phillips D. ↑,
  • 68', List E. ↓, Hanlan B. ↑,
  • 81', Freestone L. ↓, Butler D. ↑,
  • 81', Reid J. ↓, Sweeney D. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bristol Rovers
36.7%		Draw
30.6%		Stevenage Borough
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.8% 28.4% 40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32% 27.3% 39.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bristol Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bristol Rovers's performance.
  • Stevenage Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stevenage Borough might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stevenage Borough could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Bristol Rovers - Stevenage Borough Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.56 ↓
    (3.07)    		 3.1 ↓
    (3.33)    		 2.88 ↑
    (2.32)    		 6.1%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Bristol Rovers - Stevenage Borough?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Stevenage will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bristol Rovers: 57.1% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Bristol Rovers (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Bristol Rovers (1.77) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +0.5 - Bristol Rovers (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Bristol Rovers (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Bristol Rovers (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 15).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 2.
    • Bristol Rovers has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Stevenage is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Conteh K. (Knee Injury) Martin C. (Injury) Omochere P. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Stevenage: Smith K. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Senior J. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Stevenage: Freeman N. (Injury)
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Bristol Rovers won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:11 (average 1.1:1.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Bristol Rovers won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:6 (average 0.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bristol Rovers - Stevenage Borough were as follows:
    29.12.2024 Stevenage Borough - Bristol Rovers 3:0
    13.02.2024 Stevenage Borough - Bristol Rovers 2:3
    24.10.2023 Bristol Rovers - Stevenage Borough 1:1
    Latest results of Bristol Rovers
    18.04.2025 Wrexham - Bristol Rovers 1:1 ✺
    12.04.2025 Bristol Rovers - Exeter City 1:2 ✺
    05.04.2025 Bolton Wanderers - Bristol Rovers 1:0 ✺
    01.04.2025 Bristol Rovers - Birmingham City 1:2 ✺
    29.03.2025 Bristol Rovers - Mansfield Town 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Stevenage Borough
    18.04.2025 Stevenage Borough - Blackpool 1:3 ✺
    12.04.2025 Wycombe Wanderers - Stevenage Borough 1:0 ✺
    05.04.2025 Stevenage Borough - Crawley Town 3:1 ✺
    01.04.2025 Stockport County - Stevenage Borough 3:0 ✺
    27.03.2025 Leyton Orient - Stevenage Borough 1:0 ✺
    English League One Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cardiff34226668:363272
    2Lincoln34218563:313271
    3Bolton351613650:341661
    4Bradford City341771043:38558
    5Stockport County341681047:43456
    6Wycombe3514111050:361453
    7Huddersfield351571355:46952
    8Reading341312950:44651
    9Stevenage331491037:35251
    10Luton341381343:41247
    11Peterborough351441750:49146
    12Plymouth341441649:50-146
    13Barnsley321281253:54-144
    14AFC Wimbledon331271441:48-743
    15Exeter341191439:40-142
    16Mansfield3310111239:37241
    17Burton3510101539:50-1140
    18Doncaster331161636:55-1939
    19Wigan339101435:46-1137
    20Blackpool341071740:54-1437
    21Leyton Orient331061744:56-1236
    22Rotherham34981733:47-1435
    23Northampton35981831:47-1635
    24Port Vale32691726:44-1827

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          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

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