Swindon Town vs Salford City: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

04/03/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

County Ground (Swindon).

ENGLAND: League Two - Round 35
Referee: Miles J. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.39	2.01
Ball Possession
48%	52%
Goal Attempts
16	12
Shots on Goal
7	6
Shots off Goal
4	1
Blocked Shots
5	5
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
6	2
Shots inside the Box
11	9
Shots outside the Box
5	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
4	5
Free Kicks
11	9
Offsides
3	7
Fouls
9	11
Yellow Cards
0	1
Throw-ins
23	27
Touches in the Opposition Box
31	25
Passes
68% (229/336)	74% (270/363)
Passes in the final third
62% (69/112)	58% (63/108)
Crosses
28% (5/18)	13% (2/15)
Tackles
65% (13/20)	63% (12/19)
Clearances Total
32	34
Interceptions
4	6

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Nichols T. ⚽, Wright W. (A),
27', 1 - 1, Adelakun H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
69', Nichols T. ↓, Glatzel P. ↑,
69', Tshimanga K. ↓, Westley J. ↑,
69', Cotterill J. ↓, Butterworth D. ↑,
69', McGregor J. ↓, Sobowale T. ↑,
71', 2 - 1, Smith H. ⚽, Glatzel P. (A),
72', Watson R. ↓, Fornah T. ↑,
72', Woodburn B. ↓, Lund M. ↑,
72', 2 - 2, N'Mai K. ⚽,
74', Mnoga H. 🟨,
77', Berkoe K. ↓, Edwards T. ↑,
78', Longelo-Mbule R. ↓, Austerfield J. ↑,
80', Delaney R. ↓, Ameen B. ↑,

Chances of winning

Swindon Town
46.9%

Draw
28.2%

Salford City
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

28.7%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

28.7%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swindon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Swindon Town's performance.

Salford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Salford City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Swindon Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Salford City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Swindon Town - Salford City Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.37)	3.33 ↑ (3.26)	3.76 ↑ (2.94)	6.2% (6.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Swindon Town - Salford City?

Users Predictions: Swindon Town will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 14 and 9).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Swindon won 1.
Swindon is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Salford is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Swindon will have a small advantage in this match.
There will not play in Swindon: Drinan A. (Knee Injury) Kirkman B. (Knee Injury) Minturn H. (Groin Injury)
There will not play in Salford: Ashley O. (Calf Injury) Austerfield J. (Ankle Injury) Chesters D. (Knee Injury) Shephard L. (Injury)
There are questionable in Swindon: Clarke O. (Injury) Cox G. (Injury) Delaney R. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Salford: Stockton C. (Injury)
Last 8 head-to-head matches Swindon won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:10 (average 1.4:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Swindon won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.7:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Swindon Town won against Salford City?

Swindon Town has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Salford City won against Swindon Town?

Salford City has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Swindon Town - Salford City were as follows:

22.10.2024 Salford City - Swindon Town 2:1

10.02.2024 Swindon Town - Salford City 1:1

21.10.2023 Salford City - Swindon Town 2:2

18.02.2023 Salford City - Swindon Town 1:2

Latest results of Swindon Town

01.03.2025 Walsall - Swindon Town 0:1 ✺

22.02.2025 Swindon Town - Chesterfield 1:0 ✺

15.02.2025 Harrogate Town - Swindon Town 1:0 ✺

08.02.2025 Swindon Town - Port Vale 3:3 ✺

01.02.2025 Carlisle United - Swindon Town 1:5 ✺

Latest results of Salford City

01.03.2025 Salford City - Bradford City 1:2 ✺

22.02.2025 Port Vale - Salford City 2:1 ✺

15.02.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Salford City 1:0 ✺

08.02.2025 Salford City - Tranmere Rovers 2:0 ✺

04.02.2025 Salford City - Bromley 3:3 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Colchester	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Bristol Rovers	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Cheltenham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Crewe	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Gillingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Oldham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Swindon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Tranmere	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Walsall	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Accrington	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Barnet	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Chesterfield	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Grimsby	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	MK Dons	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Notts Co	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Shrewsbury	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Cambridge Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Crawley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Barrow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Bromley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Newport	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Harrogate	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
23	Fleetwood	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
24	Salford	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ League Two
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League

Which TV channels are streaming of Swindon Town - Salford City?

It is being streamed on channel


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+