Result
1:3
16/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 3
- Referee: Talic A. (Aut)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1 |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 4 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 1.71 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (235/330) | 73% (283/389) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 1.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.95 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (235/330) | 73% (283/389) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (27/55) | 34% (24/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (72/115) | 65% (95/146) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (7/21) | 25% (5/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 1.52 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 69 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 45 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.95 | 1.22 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.05 | 0.22 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 5', Chukwuani T. 🟨,
- 8', Kiedl P. 🟨,
- 13', 1 - 0, Kiedl P. ⚽, Bajic A. (A),
- 16', 1 - 1, Kiteishvili O. ⚽, Boving W. (A),
- 31', 1 - 2, Johnston M. ⚽, Boving W. (A),
- 44', 1 - 3, Kiteishvili O. ⚽, Horvat T. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Rasner M. ↓, Mayer J. ↑,
- 61', Bajic A. 🟨,
- 65', Kiedl P. ↓, van Wyk A. ↑,
- 68', Boving W. ↓, Beganovic B. ↑,
- 68', Grgic L. ↓, Jatta S. ↑,
- 71', Mayer J. 🟨,
- 72', Mutandwa K. ↓, Boguo J. ↑,
- 81', Karic E. ↓, Malic A. ↑,
- 81', Horvat T. ↓, Hodl J. ↑,
- 85', Maart Y. 🟨,
- 87', Kiteishvili O. ↓, Hierlander S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Ried
23.3% | Draw
25.5% | Sturm Graz
51.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ried has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ried than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Ried - Sturm Graz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.02 ↓
(4.43) |
3.66 ↓
(3.77) |
1.85 ↑
(1.73) |
6.2%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Ried - Sturm Graz?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Ried will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Sturm will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sturm: 50.5% – 99.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ried won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Sturm is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Ried: Mayer J.
(Inactive)
Mesic N.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Sturm: Borkovic A.
(Knee Injury)
Geyrhofer N.
(Inactive)
Kayombo A.
(Ankle Injury)
Khudyakov D.
(Wrist Injury)
Oermann T.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Ried: van Wyk A.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ried won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 15:29. (average 0.8:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ried won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 0.8:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Ried won against Sturm Graz?
Ried has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sturm Graz won against Ried?
Sturm Graz has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ried - Sturm Graz were as follows:
28.08.2024
Ried
-
Sturm Graz
1:3
30.10.2022
Sturm Graz
-
Ried
2:1
Latest results of Sturm Graz
Austrian Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Salzburg | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12:3 | 9 | 10 |
| 2 | SK Rapid | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Altach | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 8 |
| 4 | Tirol | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:4 | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Sturm Graz | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Wolfsberger AC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Hartberg | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | Ried | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 9 | Grazer AK | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4:9 | -5 | 3 |
| 10 | LASK | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 3 |
| 11 | Austria Vienna | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 1 |
| 12 | BW Linz | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0:7 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Championship Group: )
Bundesliga (Relegation Group: )
