Nocerina vs Sarrabus Ogliastra – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
16/11/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group G - Round 12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 17', 0 - 1, Floris M. ,
  • 42', 1 - 1, Giannone L. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 52', 2 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Nocerina
62.5%
Draw
22.3%
Sarrabus Ogliastra
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61% 22.3% 16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64% 21.3% 15.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nocerina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Sarrabus Ogliastra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nocerina than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarrabus Ogliastra than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
  • Nocerina - Sarrabus Ogliastra Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.49)
    4.07
    (4.08)
    5.97
    (5.44)
    10.3%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Nocerina - Sarrabus Ogliastra?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Nocerina (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nocerina will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Nocerina (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs: ) and 9).
    • Nocerina has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Sarrabus Ogliastra has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Sarrabus Ogliastra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Nocerina is a strong favorite.
    • We predict that Nocerina will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nocerina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Nocerina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nocerina - Sarrabus Ogliastra were as follows:
    24.02.2024 Nocerina - Sarrabus Ogliastra 1:0
    22.10.2023 Sarrabus Ogliastra - Nocerina 3:2
    Latest results of Nocerina
    09.11.2025 Valmontone - Nocerina 0:1
    02.11.2025 Nocerina - Cassino 2:0
    22.10.2025 Reggina - Nocerina 2:3
    19.10.2025 Nocerina - Montespaccato 1:1
    Latest results of Sarrabus Ogliastra
    Italian Serie D - Group G Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Scafatese26206055:163966
    2Trastevere Calcio26147550:331749
    3Monastir261241039:34540
    4Albalonga26117844:40440
    5Nocerina26109733:29439
    6Flaminia2599738:281036
    7Atl. Lodigiani2699837:33436
    8Ischia25106932:37-536
    9Sarrabus Ogliastra261061037:43-636
    10Latte Dolce261041236:40-434
    11Valmontone261041233:41-834
    12Palmese 191426712732:30233
    13Anzio Calcio 192426881028:35-732
    14Budoni26871125:26-131
    15Olbia265111027:38-1126
    16Montespaccato265101135:42-725
    17Real Monterotondo26651527:41-1423
    18Cassino26461620:42-2218

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group G (Play Out: )
          Relegation