Result
1:1
09/11/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 14
- Referee: Visser L. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DAZN |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
 Bolivia | DAZN |
 Brazil | DAZN Brasil |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Ecuador | DAZN |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Paraguay | DAZN |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Taiwan | DAZN |
 United-kingdom | DAZN, DAZN UK |
 Uruguay | DAZN |
 Usa | DAZN USA |
 Venezuela | DAZN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.44 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (314/386) | 84% (401/475) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 1.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 0.90 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 15 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 38 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (314/386) | 84% (401/475) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (22/49) | 68% (23/34) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (50/72) | 75% (122/162) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 36% (8/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 1.79 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 70% (19/27) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.10 | -0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 6', Koudou T. 🟨,
- 6', Vanderbiest F. 🟨,
- 45+3', Niang O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 55', Marsa J. 🟨,
- 59', Ait El Hadj A. ↓, David P. ↑,
- 68', Khalaili A. 🟨,
- 75', Rodriguez K. ↓, Florucz R. ↑,
- 75', Khalaili A. ↓, Patris L. ↑,
- 75', Struyf I. ↓, Diouf G. ↑,
- 83', Raman B. ↓, Bande H. ↑,
- 85', 0 - 1, Florucz R. ⚽, Schoofs R. (A),
- 86', Zorgane A. ↓, Boufal S. ↑,
- 86', Schoofs R. ↓, Rasmussen M. ↑,
- 88', Marsa J. ↓, Antonio B. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 1, van Brederode M. (Pen),
- 90+6', van Brederode M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
KV Mechelen
16.6% | Draw
21.5% | Saint-Gilloise
62% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
KV Mechelen - Saint-Gilloise Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.66 ↑
(4.85) |
4.45 ↑
(4.1) |
1.55 ↓
(1.62) |
4.9%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for KV Mechelen - Saint-Gilloise?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Mechelen will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Union SG will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mechelen: 46.1% – 91.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): KV Mechelen will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Union SG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Union SG is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Mechelen: De Wolf O.
(Knock)
Kiki
(Surgery)
Konate M.
(Injury)
Mrabti K.
(Injury)
Ozdemir H.
(Collarbone injury)
- There will not play in Union SG: Fuseini M.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Mechelen won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:21. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mechelen won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:9. (average 1.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has KV Mechelen won against Saint-Gilloise?
KV Mechelen has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Gilloise won against KV Mechelen?
Saint-Gilloise has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KV Mechelen - Saint-Gilloise were as follows:
16.02.2025
Saint-Gilloise
-
KV Mechelen
0:1
02.11.2024
KV Mechelen
-
Saint-Gilloise
1:1
17.12.2023
Saint-Gilloise
-
KV Mechelen
1:0
19.08.2023
KV Mechelen
-
Saint-Gilloise
4:0
19.03.2023
Saint-Gilloise
-
KV Mechelen
2:1
Latest results of KV Mechelen
Latest results of Saint-Gilloise
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 29:8 | 21 | 33 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 21:13 | 8 | 29 |
| 3 | Anderlecht | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 21:13 | 8 | 25 |
| 4 | St. Truiden | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 19:16 | 3 | 24 |
| 5 | Gent | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23:22 | 1 | 21 |
| 6 | KV Mechelen | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 19:17 | 2 | 21 |
| 7 | Genk | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 19:18 | 1 | 20 |
| 8 | Waregem | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 21:21 | 0 | 19 |
| 9 | Charleroi | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 18 |
| 10 | St. Liege | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 13:19 | -6 | 17 |
| 11 | RAAL La Louviere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 17 |
| 12 | Westerlo | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19:24 | -5 | 15 |
| 13 | Leuven | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15:22 | -7 | 15 |
| 14 | Antwerp | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 13:16 | -3 | 14 |
| 15 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 18:21 | -3 | 12 |
| 16 | Dender | 14 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 8:23 | -15 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
