Saint-Gilloise vs KV Mechelen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
17/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Jupiler Pro League - Round 21
  • Referee: Van Driessche B. (Bel)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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ecuadorEcuadorDAZN
finlandFinlandDAZN
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
italyItalyDAZN Italia
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norwayNorwayDAZN
paraguayParaguayDAZN
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
spainSpainDAZN Espana
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
taiwanTaiwanDAZN
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDAZN
usaUsaDAZN USA
venezuelaVenezuelaDAZN

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.360.54
Ball possession
42%58%
Total shots
154
Shots on target
61
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
70
Passes
71% (233/328)77% (359/466)
Yellow cards
42
Expected goals (xG)
1.360.54
xG on target (xGOT)
2.080.13
Total shots
154
Shots on target
61
Shots off target
93
Blocked shots
00
Shots inside the box
73
Shots outside the box
81
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
70
Touches in opposition box
219
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free kicks
1316
Passes
71% (233/328)77% (359/466)
Long passes
26% (12/47)45% (25/56)
Passes in final third
52% (49/95)66% (60/91)
Crosses
44% (8/18)14% (1/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.240.36
Throw ins
2639
Fouls
1613
Tackles
68% (15/22)78% (14/18)
Duels won
7348
Clearances
1626
Interceptions
2211
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
15
xGOT faced
0.132.08
Goals prevented
0.131.08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 31', Kireev M. 🟨,
  • 35', 1 - 0, David P. , Van De Perre K. (A),
  • 45+1', Mac Allister K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Struyf I. , Marsa J. ,
  • 57', Barry M. T. , Leysen F. ,
  • 57', Zorgane A. , Rasmussen M. ,
  • 69', David P. , Fuseini M. ,
  • 70', Florucz R. , Rodriguez K. ,
  • 70', Konate M. , Antonio B. ,
  • 77', Sykes R. 🟨,
  • 78', Kireev M. , Kiki ,
  • 78', Lauberbach L. , Bande H. ,
  • 84', Halhal R. 🟨,
  • 87', Rodriguez K. , Biondic M. ,
  • 90+2', Scherpen K. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Khalaili A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Saint-Gilloise
71.8%
Draw
18.1%
KV Mechelen
10.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.9% 18.3% 10.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.3% 17.2% 10.2%

Saint-Gilloise - KV Mechelen Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.3
(1.31)
5.3
(5.07)
9.23
(8.62)
6.4%
(7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Saint-Gilloise - KV Mechelen?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Union SG will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Mechelen will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Union SG: 35.9%97.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Mechelen (7.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 - Mechelen (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.25 - Mechelen (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Mechelen (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Union SG won 1.
    • Union SG has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Mechelen is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Mechelen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Union SG is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Union SG: Burgess C. (Red Card) Niang O. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Mechelen: De Wolf O. (Knee Injury) Diouf G. (Yellow Cards) Marsa J. (Muscle Injury) Raman B. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Mechelen: Salifou D. (Inactive)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Union SG won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 22:27. (average 1.2:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Union SG won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.3:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Saint-Gilloise - KV Mechelen were as follows:
    09.11.2025 KV Mechelen - Saint-Gilloise 1:1
    16.02.2025 Saint-Gilloise - KV Mechelen 0:1
    02.11.2024 KV Mechelen - Saint-Gilloise 1:1
    17.12.2023 Saint-Gilloise - KV Mechelen 1:0
    19.08.2023 KV Mechelen - Saint-Gilloise 4:0
    Latest results of Saint-Gilloise
    Latest results of KV Mechelen
    10.01.2026 KV Mechelen - Servette 2:1
    27.12.2025 KV Mechelen - Dender EH 1:1
    07.12.2025 KV Mechelen - Charleroi 1:0
    Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Royale Union SG21136237:122545
    2St. Truiden21133531:23842
    3Club Brugge KV21132638:251341
    4Anderlecht21105630:26435
    5KV Mechelen2187625:23231
    6Gent2185832:31129
    7St. Liege21831018:25-727
    8Antwerp2176824:22227
    9Charleroi2176825:26-127
    10Waregem2168728:30-226
    11Genk2167828:33-525
    12Westerlo2166928:32-424
    13RAAL La Louviere2158818:23-523
    14Leuven21551119:30-1120
    15Cercle Brugge KSV2148927:30-320
    16Dender21371117:34-1716

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