Águilas vs UCAM Murcia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
22/03/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 28

Match Stats

Red cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 16', 0 - 1, Aquino D. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 74', 1 - 1, Kouassi B. ,
  • 83', 1 - 2, Mizzian M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 86', 🟥,
  • 86', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Águilas
41.1%
Draw
32.1%
UCAM Murcia
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.2% 30.1% 27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43% 30.7% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Águilas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • UCAM Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águilas than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • Águilas - UCAM Murcia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (2.17)
    2.83
    (3.04)
    3.39
    (3.31)
    10.1%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Águilas won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Águilas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Águilas could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Águilas won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 0.8:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Águilas won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Águilas - UCAM Murcia were as follows:
    04.01.2026 UCAM Murcia - Águilas 1:0
    16.02.2025 Águilas - UCAM Murcia 2:1
    06.10.2024 UCAM Murcia - Águilas 1:1
    10.03.2024 UCAM Murcia - Águilas 0:0
    29.10.2023 Águilas - UCAM Murcia 1:0
    Latest results of Águilas
    14.03.2026 CD Extremadura - Águilas 1:0
    08.03.2026 Águilas - Puente Genil 3:1
    01.03.2026 Real Jaén - Águilas 3:1
    22.02.2026 Águilas - Malaga B 3:1
    Latest results of UCAM Murcia
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Xerez CD28156730:21951
    2Deportiva Minera28155840:271350
    3UCAM Murcia28147741:32949
    4Aguilas FC28147736:221449
    5Recreativo Huelva28139635:171848
    6CD Extremadura281211542:321047
    7Jaen28129734:28645
    8Lorca Deportiva281261028:28042
    9Linares28912732:37-539
    10Yeclano281141325:25037
    11La Union281061234:35-136
    12Antoniano281061231:33-236
    13Xerez D.F.C288101031:33-234
    14Puente Genil28891123:31-833
    15CD Estepona28861429:38-930
    16Melilla286111127:30-329
    17Almeria B28471720:40-2019
    18Malaga B ✔ 28352022:51-2914

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
          Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Malaga B is Relegated to