Result
3:3
18/10/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 9
- Referee: Nagtegaal M. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.94 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (341/410) | 74% (198/269) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.53 | 1.94 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 1.94 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (341/410) | 74% (198/269) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (30/53) | 45% (26/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (81/120) | 54% (28/52) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.24 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 55% (11/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.94 | 1.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.06 | -0.66 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 22', Kaplan A. 🟨,
- 24', 0 - 1, van Wolfswinkel R. (Pen),
- 29', 1 - 1, Ouwejan T. ⚽, Sano K. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 55', 1 - 2, Rots M. ⚽, Orjasaeter S. (A),
- 60', Zerrouki R. 🟨,
- 63', van den Belt T. 🟨,
- 64', Ogawa K. ↓, El Kachati Y. ↑,
- 64', Misidjan V. ↓, Onal B. ↑,
- 66', 2 - 2, El Kachati Y. ⚽, Ouwejan T. (A),
- 71', Propper R. 🟨,
- 71', van den Belt T. ↓, Rots D. ↑,
- 71', Pjaca M. ↓, Verschueren A. ↑,
- 77', Rots M. ↓, Booth T. ↑,
- 77', Orjasaeter S. ↓, Kuipers B. ↑,
- 83', 3 - 2, Verschueren A. (Own goal),
- 83', Onal B. 🟨,
- 88', Ouwejan T. ↓, Fonville D. ↑,
- 88', Linssen B. ↓, Proper D. ↑,
- 88', Hlynsson K. ↓, Lammers S. ↑,
- 90+2', 3 - 3, van Wolfswinkel R. (Pen),
Chances of winning
NEC Nijmegen
38.2% | Draw
25.4% | Twente
36.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
NEC Nijmegen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Twente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Twente than the current prediction. (-2%)
NEC Nijmegen - Twente Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.51 ↑
(2.4) |
3.76 ↓
(3.77) |
2.63 ↓
(2.71) |
4.5%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for NEC Nijmegen - Twente?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Nijmegen will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Twente will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.2% – 64.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Nijmegen (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Nijmegen (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 1.
- Recent form of Nijmegen has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Twente is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Nijmegen: Entius F.
(Inactive)
Nuytinck B.
(Knee Injury)
Sandler P.
(Red Card)
Willems J.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Twente: Bruns M.
(Injury)
Hilgers M.
(Inactive)
Kjolo M.
(Knee Injury)
Lemkin S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Twente: Lammers S.
(Shoulder Injury)
Rots D.
(Head Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nijmegen won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 28:42. (average 1.4:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nijmegen won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:16. (average 1.7:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has NEC Nijmegen won against Twente?
NEC Nijmegen has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Twente won against NEC Nijmegen?
Twente has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between NEC Nijmegen - Twente were as follows:
22.05.2025
Twente
-
NEC Nijmegen
3:2
23.02.2025
Twente
-
NEC Nijmegen
2:0
10.08.2024
NEC Nijmegen
-
Twente
1:2
20.01.2024
NEC Nijmegen
-
Twente
1:0
11.11.2023
Twente
-
NEC Nijmegen
3:3
Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 25 | 21 | 2 | 2 | 73:30 | 43 | 65 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 25 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 55:35 | 20 | 48 |
| 3 | Ajax | 25 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 47:31 | 16 | 44 |
| 4 | Nijmegen | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 61:43 | 18 | 43 |
| 5 | Twente | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 41:26 | 15 | 41 |
| 6 | AZ Alkmaar | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 42:40 | 2 | 39 |
| 7 | Sparta Rotterdam | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 32:42 | -10 | 37 |
| 8 | Utrecht | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 38:31 | 7 | 34 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 42:43 | -1 | 34 |
| 10 | Sittard | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 39:45 | -6 | 32 |
| 11 | Groningen | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 33:35 | -2 | 31 |
| 12 | G.A. Eagles | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 38:39 | -1 | 29 |
| 13 | Zwolle | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 34:50 | -16 | 28 |
| 14 | FC Volendam | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 29:41 | -12 | 27 |
| 15 | Excelsior | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 26:42 | -16 | 26 |
| 16 | NAC Breda | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 25:39 | -14 | 22 |
| 17 | Telstar | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 31:41 | -10 | 21 |
| 18 | Heracles | 25 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 32:65 | -33 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
