Result
1:1
25/04/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 31
- Referee: Kooij J. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Japan | U-NEXT |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.87 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (272/389) | 77% (293/381) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.87 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (272/389) | 77% (293/381) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (34/78) | 47% (35/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (61/107) | 76% (105/138) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 19% (5/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 1.60 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (13/21) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 33 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.75 | 0.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.75 | -0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', 1 - 0, Orjasaeter S. ⚽, Rots D. (A),
- 18', Lebreton N. 🟨,
- 26', Fonville D. 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 1, Linssen B. ⚽, Sandler P. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 66', Lammers S. ↓, van Wolfswinkel R. ↑,
- 66', Nijstad R. ↓, Propper R. ↑,
- 66', Nuytinck B. ↓, Proper D. ↑,
- 77', van den Belt T. ↓, Weidmann D. ↑,
- 78', Hlynsson K. ↓, Kjolo M. ↑,
- 79', Rots M. 🟨,
- 85', Linssen B. ↓, Danilo Pereira ↑,
- 87', Rots M. ↓, Verschueren A. ↑,
- 90+2', Chery T. ↓, Pereira B. ↑,
Chances of winning
Twente
57.5% | Draw
22.1% | NEC Nijmegen
20.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Twente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Twente's performance.NEC Nijmegen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and NEC Nijmegen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Twente than the current prediction. (-8.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Twente that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for NEC Nijmegen than the current prediction. (+7.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that NEC Nijmegen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Twente - NEC Nijmegen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.65 ↓
(1.97) |
4.27 ↑
(3.94) |
4.68 ↑
(3.31) |
5.4%
(6.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Twente - NEC Nijmegen?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Twente will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Nijmegen will win (votes: 6 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nijmegen: 15.2% – 64.8%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Twente (votes: 1 - 50%). Nijmegen (votes: 1 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - Nijmegen (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Twente (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Nijmegen (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Twente won 3.
- Twente is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Nijmegen's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Nijmegen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Twente is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Twente: Hilgers M.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Nijmegen: Kaplan A.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Nijmegen: Onal B.
(Injury)
- We predict that Twente will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Twente won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 44:28. (average 2.2:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Twente won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 26:11. (average 2.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Twente won against NEC Nijmegen?
Twente has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has NEC Nijmegen won against Twente?
NEC Nijmegen has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Twente - NEC Nijmegen were as follows:
18.10.2025
NEC Nijmegen
-
Twente
3:3
22.05.2025
Twente
-
NEC Nijmegen
3:2
23.02.2025
Twente
-
NEC Nijmegen
2:0
10.08.2024
NEC Nijmegen
-
Twente
1:2
20.01.2024
NEC Nijmegen
-
Twente
1:0
Latest results of NEC Nijmegen
Draw
Relegation - Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Roda | Waalwijk | 1 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Bye | Willem II | |
| 3 | Den Bosch | Almere City | 0 : 3, 2 : 3 |
| 4 | Bye | De Graafschap | |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Waalwijk | Willem II | |
| 2 | Almere City | De Graafschap | |
Semi-finalsFinal
