Result
3:1
29/08/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 3
- Referee: Kherradji A. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Albania | SuperSport 3 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Armenia | Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
Austria | DAZN |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
Bulgaria | Nova Sport |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4, Oneplay |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay |
France | Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Israel | 5 LIVE Israel |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Malta | TVM Sport+ |
Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+ |
Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
Portugal | Sport TV5 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Sport 1 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
3.62 | 1.10 |
Ball Possession |
---|
67% | 33% |
Total shots |
---|
30 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
10 | 2 |
Big Chances |
---|
6 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
15 | 1 |
Passes |
---|
85% (494/578) | 73% (208/284) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 3 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
3.62 | 1.10 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
4.05 | 1.06 |
Total shots |
---|
30 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
10 | 2 |
Shots off target |
---|
9 | 2 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
11 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
26 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
6 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
15 | 1 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
55 | 17 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
10 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
85% (494/578) | 73% (208/284) |
Long passes |
---|
50% (22/44) | 49% (30/61) |
Passes in final third |
---|
80% (148/186) | 60% (49/81) |
Crosses |
---|
31% (11/35) | 25% (2/8) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
2.21 | 0.55 |
Throw-ins |
---|
12 | 16 |
Fouls |
---|
7 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
73% (11/15) | 73% (11/15) |
Duels won |
---|
53 | 64 |
Clearances |
---|
20 | 31 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
1 | 7 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.06 | 4.05 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.06 | 1.05 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 24', 0 - 1, Balde M. ⚽, Doumbia K. (A),
- 45', Ajorque L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 46', Machado D. ↓, Baidoo S. ↑,
- 48', Magnetti H. 🟨,
- 55', Majecki R. 🟥,
- 57', Lala K. 🟨,
- 59', Del Castillo R. ↓, Coudert G. ↑,
- 60', 1 - 1, Thauvin F. (Pen),
- 69', Aguilar R. 🟨,
- 75', Doumbia K. ↓, Bourgault J. ↑,
- 75', Balde M. ↓, Makalou H. ↑,
- 75', Fofana R. ↓, Guilavogui M. ↑,
- 76', Thauvin F. ↓, Bermont A. ↑,
- 76', Aguilar R. ↓, Abdulhamid S. ↑,
- 78', 2 - 1, Guilavogui M. ⚽,
- 86', Chotard J. ↓, Diop S. ↑,
- 86', Locko B. ↓, Le Guen R. ↑,
- 90+2', 3 - 1, Thomasson A. ⚽, Abdulhamid S. (A),
- 90+3', Said W. ↓, Sotoca F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lens 43.4% | Draw 28% | Brest 28.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lens's form might have worsened.Brest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lens than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lens, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brest than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Lens - Brest Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.38 ↑ (1.96) |
3.57 ↓ (3.66) |
3.46 ↓ (3.73) |
-1% (5.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lens - Brest?
Users Predictions:
Lens will win
(35 of 42 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.06% – 94.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lens will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lens won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Lens might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Lens: Jhoanner Chavez
(Ankle Injury)
Satriano M.
(Leg Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lens won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:29. (average 1.4:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lens won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:12. (average 1.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Lens won against Brest?
Lens has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Brest won against Lens?
Brest has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lens - Brest were as follows:
20.04.2025
Brest
-
Lens
1:3
25.08.2024
Lens
-
Brest
2:0
09.03.2024
Lens
-
Brest
1:0
13.08.2023
Brest
-
Lens
3:2
05.02.2023
Brest
-
Lens
1:1
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | PSG | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 9 |
2 | Lyon | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 9 |
3 | Lille | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 7 |
4 | Monaco | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
5 | Lens | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
6 | Strasbourg | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 6 |
7 | Toulouse | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 6 |
8 | Angers | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
9 | Rennes | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
10 | Marseille | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 3 |
11 | Le Havre | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 3 |
12 | Nice | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
13 | Nantes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
14 | Auxerre | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
15 | Lorient | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 3 |
16 | Paris FC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 3 |
17 | Brest | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:8 | -4 | 1 |
18 | Metz | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2