Result
3:2
11/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 33
- Referee: Graham C. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Dundee United TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 1.87 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (228/363) | 57% (204/359) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 1.87 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.65 | 2.37 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (228/363) | 57% (204/359) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 14% (9/64) | 30% (29/96) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (81/138) | 46% (54/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (6/22) | 25% (3/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 1.14 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 34 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (8/9) | 56% (10/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.37 | 2.65 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.37 | -0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 14', Fatah A. ↓, Farrugia N. ↑,
- 19', 1 - 0, Ferry W. ⚽, Watters M. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 49', 1 - 1, Smith L. ⚽, Nouble J. (A),
- 53', 1 - 2, Smith L. ⚽, Prior J. (A),
- 62', Watters M. ↓, Camara P. ↑,
- 62', Iovu I. ↓, Keresztes K. ↑,
- 62', Sevelj V. ↓, Naamo D. ↑,
- 64', May S. ↓, Pittman S. ↑,
- 70', Nouble J. ↓, Muirhead R. ↑,
- 71', Arfield S. ↓, Tait M. ↑,
- 71', Fati B. ↓, Kabongolo B. ↑,
- 75', 2 - 2, Keresztes K. ⚽, Ferry W. (A),
- 82', Smith L. ↓, Zimmerman J. ↑,
- 88', Ferry W. ↓, Dolcek I. ↑,
- 90+3', 3 - 2, Sapsford Z. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Dundee United
57.3% | Draw
24% | Livingston
18.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dundee United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dundee United's performance.Livingston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dundee United than the current prediction. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livingston than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Dundee United - Livingston Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↓
(1.78) |
3.96 ↑
(3.52) |
5.05 ↑
(4.25) |
5.5%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Dundee United - Livingston?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dundee Utd (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - Livingston (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Dundee United will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dundee Utd (votes: 1 - 50%). Livingston (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
- Dundee Utd is Premiership (Relegation Group )
- Livingston is Premiership (Relegation Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dundee Utd won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Dundee Utd is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Dundee Utd: Pappoe I.
(Knee Injury)
Russell J.
(Inactive)
Trapanovski K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Livingston: McLennan C.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Dundee Utd: Maynard-Brewer A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Livingston: Denholm A.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Dundee Utd won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:23. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Dundee Utd won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 1.6:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Dundee United won against Livingston?
Dundee United has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Livingston won against Dundee United?
Livingston has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Dundee United - Livingston were as follows:
30.12.2025
Livingston
-
Dundee United
1:3
04.10.2025
Dundee United
-
Livingston
1:1
20.05.2023
Livingston
-
Dundee United
2:1
22.04.2023
Dundee United
-
Livingston
2:0
08.03.2023
Livingston
-
Dundee United
1:1
Latest results of Dundee United
Latest results of Livingston
Scottish Premier League Table
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 7 | Dundee Utd | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 48:54 | -6 | 43 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 34:48 | -14 | 36 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 34:56 | -22 | 33 |
| 10 | St. Mirren | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 27:50 | -23 | 30 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 37:66 | -29 | 28 |
| 12 | Livingston | 34 | 2 | 13 | 19 | 37:66 | -29 | 19 |
Premiership (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Championship
