Le Havre vs Toulouse – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
2:1
15/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 22
  • Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceLigue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
israelIsrael5 PLUS Israel
italyItalyLigue 1+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoFOX One, Fox Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1x2
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 5, Voyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, Ligue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus, TV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.162.58
Ball possession
33%67%
Total shots
525
Shots on target
29
Big chances
24
Corner kicks
110
Passes
73% (203/279)88% (485/553)
Yellow cards
14
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
1.162.58
xG on target (xGOT)
1.073.18
Total shots
525
Shots on target
29
Shots off target
26
Blocked shots
110
Shots inside the box
216
Shots outside the box
39
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
24
Corner kicks
110
Touches in opposition box
763
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
11
Free kicks
167
Passes
73% (203/279)88% (485/553)
Long passes
46% (30/65)66% (23/35)
Passes in final third
48% (23/48)79% (186/236)
Crosses
25% (1/4)28% (10/36)
Expected assists (xA)
0.082.35
Throw ins
1121
Fouls
716
Tackles
58% (14/24)43% (9/21)
Duels won
6348
Clearances
465
Interceptions
76
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper saves
81
xGOT faced
3.181.07
Goals prevented
2.18-0.93

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2', Sangante A. 🟥,
  • 30', Messali R. ↓, Hidalgo S. ↑,
  • 43', 1 - 0, Soumare I. ⚽,
  • 45+3', 1 - 1, Sidibe D. ⚽, Cresswell C. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Diaw M. ↓, Mpasi-Nzau L. ↑,
  • 49', Casseres C. 🟨,
  • 53', 2 - 1, Soumare I. ⚽, Boufal S. (A),
  • 54', Restes G. 🟨,
  • 55', Ebonog S. 🟨,
  • 62', Casseres C. ↓, Sauer M. ↑,
  • 62', Nicolaisen R. ↓, Methalie D. ↑,
  • 62', Emersonn ↓, Russell-Rowe J. ↑,
  • 65', Boufal S. ↓, Mosengo D. N. ↑,
  • 65', Ebonog S. ↓, Samatta A. ↑,
  • 70', Methalie D. 🟨,
  • 83', Sidibe D. ↓, Vignolo J. ↑,
  • 84', Zagadou S. ↓, Pembele T. ↑,
  • 88', Hidalgo S. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Ndiaye R. ↓, Kechta Y. ↑,

Chances of winning


Le Havre
30.5%		Draw
29.9%		Toulouse
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.5% 29% 43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.6% 29.1% 43.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
    •

    Le Havre - Toulouse Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.14 ↓
    (3.43)    		 3.2 ↓
    (3.26)    		 2.41 ↑
    (2.17)    		 4.7%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Le Havre - Toulouse?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Le Havre will win (votes: 4 - 25%). Toulouse will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Toulouse: 32% – 80.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Toulouse (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Toulouse (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Le Havre (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Le Havre (votes: 1 - 25%). Toulouse (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 2.
    • Recent performances by Le Havre have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Toulouse is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Le Havre may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Le Havre: Seko A. (Ribs Injury) Toure A. (Knee Injury) Youte Kinkoue E. (Health problems)
    • There will not play in Toulouse: Azizi I. (Knee Injury) Francis A. (Broken Leg)
    • There are questionable in Le Havre: Vinette E. K. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Toulouse: Dominguez A. (Inactive) Magri F. (Knee Injury) Vossah A. (Inactive)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Le Havre won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:17. (average 0.9:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Le Havre won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Le Havre - Toulouse were as follows:
    02.11.2025 Toulouse - Le Havre 0:0
    23.02.2025 Le Havre - Toulouse 1:4
    15.09.2024 Toulouse - Le Havre 2:0
    10.03.2024 Le Havre - Toulouse 1:0
    05.11.2023 Toulouse - Le Havre 1:2
    Latest results of Le Havre
    08.02.2026 Le Havre - Strasbourg 2:1 ✺
    30.01.2026 Lens - Le Havre 1:0 ✺
    24.01.2026 Le Havre - Monaco 0:0 ✺
    18.01.2026 Rennes - Le Havre 1:1 ✺
    04.01.2026 Le Havre - Angers 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Toulouse
    08.02.2026 Angers - Toulouse 1:0 ✺
    04.02.2026 Toulouse - Amiens 1:0 ✺
    01.02.2026 Toulouse - Auxerre 0:0 ✺
    25.01.2026 Brest - Toulouse 0:2 ✺
    17.01.2026 Toulouse - Nice 5:1 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG24183353:193457
    2Lens24172545:212453
    3Lyon24143739:261345
    4Marseille24134751:331843
    5Lille24124837:31640
    6Rennes24117638:35340
    7Monaco24114940:36437
    8Strasbourg24105940:31935
    9Brest2496932:34-233
    10Lorient2489734:38-433
    11Toulouse2487933:28531
    12Angers24851122:30-829
    13Le Havre24681020:30-1026
    14Paris FC24681028:40-1226
    15Nice24661230:44-1424
    16Auxerre24461419:35-1618
    17Nantes24451522:41-1917
    18Metz24341722:53-3113

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