Result
2:1
05/10/2025 at 07:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 11
- Referee: Karasev S. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 10 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.63 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (248/335) | 79% (307/389) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.63 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 0.48 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (248/335) | 79% (307/389) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (21/50) | 29% (15/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (46/77) | 61% (65/106) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (3/17) | 19% (5/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 0.74 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 92% (12/13) | 63% (12/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.48 | 1.92 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.52 | -0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 32', Attiyat Allah Y. 🟨,
- 33', Aleksandrov V. 🟨,
- 35', 1 - 0, Iljin V. ⚽, Kamano F. (A),
- 45+3', Smelov E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Krashevskiy Y. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
- 46', Tsarukyan V. ↓, Lesovoy D. ↑,
- 47', Zinkovskiy A. 🟨,
- 48', 1 - 1, Boselli J. ⚽,
- 54', Castillo J. 🟨,
- 55', Saavedra I. (Pen),
- 55', 2 - 1, Saavedra I. ⚽,
- 57', Iljin V. 🟨,
- 64', Castillo J. ↓, Vecino T. ↑,
- 66', Ezhov R. ↓, Zaika K. ↑,
- 66', Kamano F. ↓, Ignatov M. ↑,
- 78', Zinkovskiy A. ↓, Makarchuk A. ↑,
- 80', Ignatov M. 🟨,
- 82', Smelov E. ↓, Shnaptsev M. ↑,
- 82', Pigas V. ↓, Cephas R. ↑,
- 89', Mukhin M. ↓, Kravtsov K. ↑,
- 90+4', Dyupin Y. 🟨,
- 90+7', Vecino T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sochi
46.9% | Draw
27.7% | Pari NN
25.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sochi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Pari NN has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sochi than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pari NN than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Sochi - Pari NN Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04 ↓
(2.1) |
3.45 ↑
(3.35) |
3.77 ↑
(3.3) |
4.4%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 2.
- Sochi is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Pari NN is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Pari NN may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Pari NN has had a series of home games.
- Sochi might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Sochi: Meleshin P.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Pari NN: Ektov A.
(Knee Injury)
Farina E.
(Muscle Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Sochi won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.2:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sochi won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sochi won against Pari NN?
Sochi has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pari NN won against Sochi?
Pari NN has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sochi - Pari NN were as follows:
09.07.2025
Pari NN
-
Sochi
1:0
31.05.2025
Pari NN
-
Sochi
1:3
28.05.2025
Sochi
-
Pari NN
1:2
12.05.2024
Sochi
-
Pari NN
6:1
29.10.2023
Pari NN
-
Sochi
1:0
Latest results of Pari NN
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | CSKA Moscow | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 22:10 | 12 | 24 |
| 2 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 26:16 | 10 | 23 |
| 3 | Krasnodar | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22:7 | 15 | 23 |
| 4 | Zenit | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 20 |
| 5 | Spartak Moscow | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19:17 | 2 | 18 |
| 6 | Rubin Kazan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 18 |
| 7 | Baltika | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 17 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 15 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Krylya Sovetov | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16:21 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 | Akron Togliatti | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 | Orenburg | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13:22 | -9 | 7 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 9:22 | -13 | 6 |
| 16 | Sochi | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7:25 | -18 | 5 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
