Result
1:0
08/12/2024 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Serie A Betano - Round 38
- Referee: Klein R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Peru | L1 Max |
 World | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (383/444) | 73% (191/262) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 67% (82/122) | 46% (31/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (4/19) | 17% (3/18) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (4/6) | 57% (8/14) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 35 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 24', Canobbio A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 55', Fernandinho 🟨,
- 63', Felipinho ↓, Emersonn ↑,
- 63', Godoy L. ↓, Nikao ↑,
- 66', Thiago Heleno 🟨,
- 73', Hulk (Pen),
- 73', 1 - 0, Rubens ⚽,
- 75', Deyverson ↓, Alisson ↑,
- 75', Fausto Vera ↓, Lyanco ↑,
- 78', Erick ↓, Christian ↑,
- 78', Esquivel L. ↓, Fernando ↑,
- 78', Palacios Alzate B. 🟨,
- 82', Rubens ↓, Igor Gomes ↑,
- 87', Renzo Saravia ↓, Igor Rabello ↑,
- 87', Hulk ↓, Eduardo Vargas ↑,
- 87', Fernandinho ↓, Joao Cruz ↑,
- 90', Everson 🟨,
- 90+7', Igor Gomes 🟨,
Chances of winning
Atlético Mineiro
45.2% | Draw
30.1% | Athletico Paranaense
24.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Atlético Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↓
(2.12) |
3.16 ↓
(3.28) |
3.84 ↑
(3.57) |
5.4%
(5.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Atlético Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Atlético MG will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Athletico PR will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 14 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 16).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético MG won 2.
- Atlético MG is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Athletico PR is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Atlético MG could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Athletico PR have a series of home games.
- Atlético MG will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Atlético MG: Bernard
(Injury)
Cadu
(Knee Injury)
Paulinho
(Injury)
Zaracho M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Athletico PR: Gonzalo Mastriani
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Athletico PR: Madson
(Ankle Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Atlético MG won 12 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 27:17 (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Atlético MG won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16:10 (average 1.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Athletico Paranaense?
Atlético Mineiro has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against Atlético Mineiro?
Athletico Paranaense has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense were as follows:
16.11.2024
Athletico Paranaense
-
Atlético Mineiro
1:0
02.09.2023
Athletico Paranaense
-
Atlético Mineiro
1:1
23.05.2023
Atlético Mineiro
-
Athletico Paranaense
2:1
18.04.2023
Athletico Paranaense
-
Atlético Mineiro
2:1
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 50:12 | 38 | 55 |
| 2 | Palmeiras | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 39:19 | 20 | 52 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 39:19 | 20 | 51 |
| 4 | Botafogo RJ | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 37:23 | 14 | 43 |
| 5 | Mirassol | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 43 |
| 6 | Bahia | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 33:30 | 3 | 40 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 33:31 | 2 | 38 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 29:25 | 4 | 38 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33:38 | -5 | 36 |
| 10 | Corinthians | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 33 |
| 11 | Gremio | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 33 |
| 12 | Internacional | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 32:38 | -6 | 32 |
| 13 | Ceara | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 23:24 | -1 | 31 |
| 14 | Vasco | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 38:38 | 0 | 30 |
| 15 | Atletico-MG | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 22:29 | -7 | 29 |
| 16 | Santos | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 25:35 | -10 | 28 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 21:38 | -17 | 25 |
| 18 | Juventude | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 20:46 | -26 | 23 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 24:40 | -16 | 21 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 24 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 18:37 | -19 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
