Result
2:1
05/04/2026 at 16:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Colombia | Win play, Win Sports |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Mexico | Azteca Deportes |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.43 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (429/480) | 89% (422/474) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.43 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 89% (429/480) | 89% (422/474) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (27/51) | 51% (27/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (80/108) | 72% (84/117) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 13% (3/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 0.38 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 62% (8/13) | 47% (8/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.17 | -0.99 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Victor Hugo ⚽,
- 19', Aguirre F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Mendoza S. ↓, Julimar ↑,
- 46', Dudu Kogitzki ↓, Joao Cruz ↑,
- 46', Jadson ↓, Portilla J. ↑,
- 69', Cuello ↓, Dudu ↑,
- 70', Perez T. ↓, Cisse M. ↑,
- 70', Reinier ↓, Bernard ↑,
- 75', Leo Derik ↓, Leozinho ↑,
- 77', Victor Hugo ↓, Gustavo Scarpa ↑,
- 80', 2 - 0, Gustavo Scarpa ⚽, Natanael (A),
- 86', Hulk ↓, Cassierra M. ↑,
- 88', 2 - 1, Julimar ⚽, Joao Cruz (A),
- 88', Luiz Gustavo ↓, Bruninho ↑,
Chances of winning
Atlético Mineiro
50.6% | Draw
28% | Athletico Paranaense
21.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Atlético Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.88 ↓
(1.92) |
3.36 ↓
(3.41) |
4.39 ↑
(4.19) |
5.7%
(5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Atlético Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense?
Users Predictions:
Atlético Mineiro will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Atlético Mineiro will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Atlético MG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Atlético MG is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Atlético MG: Maycon
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in Atlético MG: Cisse M.
(Leg Injury)
Minda A.
(Inactive)
Preciado A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:17. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlético MG won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:10. (average 1.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlético Mineiro won against Athletico Paranaense?
Atlético Mineiro has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletico Paranaense won against Atlético Mineiro?
Athletico Paranaense has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlético Mineiro - Athletico Paranaense were as follows:
08.12.2024
Atlético Mineiro
-
Athletico Paranaense
1:0
16.11.2024
Athletico Paranaense
-
Atlético Mineiro
1:0
02.09.2023
Athletico Paranaense
-
Atlético Mineiro
1:1
23.05.2023
Atlético Mineiro
-
Athletico Paranaense
2:1
18.04.2023
Athletico Paranaense
-
Atlético Mineiro
2:1
Latest results of Atlético Mineiro
Latest results of Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Sao Paulo | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:9 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Fluminense | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 20 |
| 5 | Bahia | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 20 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 17:13 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 16 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 14:13 | 1 | 14 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11:12 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Vitoria | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 | Botafogo RJ | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 18:21 | -3 | 13 |
| 12 | Gremio | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 13 |
| 13 | Vasco | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 14 | Internacional | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 | Santos | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 11 |
| 17 | Cruzeiro | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:21 | -7 | 10 |
| 18 | Remo | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 11:18 | -7 | 8 |
| 19 | Chapecoense-SC | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:18 | -8 | 8 |
| 20 | Mirassol | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11:16 | -5 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B
