Result
1:2
20/02/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, FOX One, Fox Sports |
 Usa | Estrella TV, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, FOX One, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, NBC Universo |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.92 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (365/443) | 84% (276/330) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.44 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (365/443) | 84% (276/330) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (32/76) | 62% (34/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (72/111) | 69% (67/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/13) | 25% (5/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 1.26 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (15/20) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.44 | 1.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.56 | 0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', Lorona V. 🟨,
- 39', 1 - 0, Herrera O. ⚽, Correa A. (A),
- 45+2', Lainez D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 50', Joaquim 🟥,
- 55', Herrera O. ↓, Araujo C. ↑,
- 61', Rodriguez S. ↓, Valencia E. ↑,
- 61', Idrissi O. ↓, Quinones L. ↑,
- 67', Aguirre R. ↓, Sanchez Guevara D. A. ↑,
- 74', Dominguez A. ↓, Guzman V. ↑,
- 74', Bautista A. ↓, Kenedy ↑,
- 79', 1 - 1, Rondon S. ⚽, Guzman V. (A),
- 83', Gorriaran F. ↓, Brunetta J. ↑,
- 88', 1 - 2, Kenedy ⚽, Barreto S. D. (A),
- 90+4', Sanchez C. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tigres UANL
61.5% | Draw
21.8% | Pachuca
16.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tigres UANL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)Pachuca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigres UANL than the current prediction. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Tigres UANL - Pachuca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53 ↓
(1.66) |
4.29 ↑
(3.85) |
5.59 ↑
(5.13) |
6.6%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Tigres UANL - Pachuca?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Tigres will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Pachuca will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.75 - Tigres (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tigres (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tigres won 3.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Tigres may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Pachuca has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Tigres is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Tigres: Farfan M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Pachuca: Micolta A.
(Knee Injury)
Montiel E.
(Hamstring Injury)
Mozo A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Tigres: Romulo
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Pachuca: Valencia E.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tigres won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:20. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tigres won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:7. (average 1.6:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Tigres UANL won against Pachuca?
Tigres UANL has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pachuca won against Tigres UANL?
Pachuca has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tigres UANL - Pachuca were as follows:
22.10.2025
Pachuca
-
Tigres UANL
1:2
15.04.2025
Pachuca
-
Tigres UANL
0:0
26.10.2024
Tigres UANL
-
Pachuca
2:1
08.08.2024
Tigres UANL
-
Pachuca
1:0
06.04.2024
Tigres UANL
-
Pachuca
0:3
Latest results of Tigres UANL
Latest results of Pachuca
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guadalajara Chivas | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 22:9 | 13 | 27 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 22:11 | 11 | 26 |
| 3 | Toluca | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 18:6 | 12 | 25 |
| 4 | Pachuca | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 21 |
| 5 | UNAM Pumas | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20:12 | 8 | 20 |
| 6 | Tigres UANL | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 17:12 | 5 | 17 |
| 7 | Club America | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:10 | 3 | 17 |
| 8 | Atlas | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 17 |
| 9 | Monterrey | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16:12 | 4 | 14 |
| 10 | Club Tijuana | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Puebla | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 12 |
| 12 | Atl. San Luis | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:19 | -2 | 11 |
| 13 | Juarez | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 | Necaxa | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11:16 | -5 | 10 |
| 15 | Mazatlan FC | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13:22 | -9 | 10 |
| 16 | Club Leon | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 11:23 | -12 | 10 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 7 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12:29 | -17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
