Result
1:1
01/03/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group F - Round 26
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 43', 🟥,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 50', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 60', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Notaresco
41% | Draw
30.3% | Fossombrone
28.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Notaresco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Fossombrone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notaresco than the current prediction. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fossombrone than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Notaresco - Fossombrone Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↑
(2.2) |
2.99 ↑
(2.96) |
3.16 ↓
(3.24) |
10.3%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 9).
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- Notaresco might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notaresco won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 0.6:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Notaresco won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Notaresco won against Fossombrone?
Notaresco has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fossombrone won against Notaresco?
Fossombrone has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Notaresco - Fossombrone were as follows:
26.10.2025
Fossombrone
-
Notaresco
0:1
02.03.2025
Notaresco
-
Fossombrone
1:0
27.10.2024
Fossombrone
-
Notaresco
1:1
03.03.2024
Fossombrone
-
Notaresco
2:0
28.10.2023
Notaresco
-
Fossombrone
0:0
Latest results of Notaresco
Latest results of Fossombrone
Italian Serie D - Group F Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ancona | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 49:16 | 33 | 61 |
| 2 | Ostiamare | 26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 53:17 | 36 | 60 |
| 3 | Teramo | 26 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 51:22 | 29 | 58 |
| 4 | L Aquila | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 48:33 | 15 | 47 |
| 5 | Atletico Ascoli | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 47:27 | 20 | 45 |
| 6 | Vigor Senigallia | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 28:25 | 3 | 40 |
| 7 | Giulianova | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 33:27 | 6 | 39 |
| 8 | Notaresco Calcio | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 29:24 | 5 | 38 |
| 9 | Fossombrone | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 20:24 | -4 | 33 |
| 10 | Unipomezia | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 32:34 | -2 | 32 |
| 11 | Maceratese | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 35:38 | -3 | 30 |
| 12 | Sora | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 33:39 | -6 | 30 |
| 13 | Termoli | 26 | 5 | 12 | 9 | 22:26 | -4 | 27 |
| 14 | Recanatese | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 28:48 | -20 | 21 |
| 15 | Calcio Chieti | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23:47 | -24 | 21 |
| 16 | San Marino Calcio | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 22:47 | -25 | 20 |
| 17 | Sammaurese | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27:57 | -30 | 18 |
| 18 | Castelfidardo | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 22:51 | -29 | 15 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )
Relegation
