Gornyak-UGMK vs Norilsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey VHL Gornyak-UGMK - Norilsk
Result
4:1
18/10/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • VHL

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (2 - 0)
  • 07:13, 1 - 0, Makhrin M. (G), Lukhovskoy N. (A), Valitov D. (A2)
  • 09:27, 2 - 0, Valitov D. (G), Borisov S. (A), Makhrin M. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 1)
  • 04:16, 3 - 0, Razdyakonov V. (G), Sushchev V. (A), Isayev D. (A2)
  • 09:15, 3 - 1, Bain M. (G), Skorikov D. (A),
  • 3rd Period (1 - 0)
  • 04:15, 4 - 1, Filyayev V. (G), Guskov I. (A),

Official Live

Chances of winning


Gornyak-UGMK
53.9%
Draw
21.9%
Norilsk
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.8% 22% 24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8% 21.6% 23.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gornyak-UGMK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Norilsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • Gornyak-UGMK - Norilsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.74)
    4.27
    (4.25)
    3.88
    (3.86)
    6.9%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Gornyak-UGMK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Gornyak-UGMK is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Gornyak-UGMK will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 34:33. (average 3.4:3.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gornyak-UGMK won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 26:13. (average 5.2:2.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gornyak-UGMK - Norilsk were as follows:
    04.04.2025 Norilsk - Gornyak-UGMK 5:2
    02.04.2025 Gornyak-UGMK - Norilsk 12:1
    30.03.2025 Norilsk - Gornyak-UGMK 3:2
    28.03.2025 Norilsk - Gornyak-UGMK 4:0
    25.03.2025 Gornyak-UGMK - Norilsk 2:6
    Latest results of Gornyak-UGMK
    Latest results of Norilsk
    16.10.2025 Chelmet - Norilsk 1:3
    12.10.2025 Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Norilsk 2:1
    06.10.2025 Norilsk - Torpedo-Gorky 0:5
    04.10.2025 Norilsk - Khimik 0:4
    VHL Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Magnitka Magnitogorsk181031463:3727
    2Metallurg Novokuznetsk171031362:4227
    3HC Yugra151022144:1826
    4Almetyevsk171111457:2625
    5Perm17751443:3525
    6Omskie Krylia151012252:3024
    7Gornyak17930555:3324
    8Dizel17905344:3923
    9Torpedo Gorky17643452:4023
    10Khimik17921550:3523
    11Krasnoyarsk16731543:3221
    12CSK VVS19452851:5520
    13Toros Neftekamsk16804443:3620
    14Chelmet Chelyabinsk18811852:5219
    15Izhevsk15811539:3519
    16Bars18525631:3719
    17Orsk18803731:4719
    18Ryazan16720741:3918
    19Rubin Tyumen15622534:2818
    20Zvezda Moscow17720833:4018
    21Dinamo St. Petersburg18711945:4017
    22Kurgan15433537:3917
    23AKM15342634:4316
    24Tambov15242734:5014
    25HK Norilsk16601932:4413
    26SKA-VMF St. Petersburg17224927:4812
    27Buran Voronezh14502731:4112
    28Olympia173221020:4912
    29HC Rostov15402935:4610
    30Kristall Saratov182141133:5710
    31Dyn. Altay15312929:4710
    32Chelny182211331:689

          Promotion ~ VHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)