Result
0:1 penalties
01/02/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 2nd Period (0 - 0)
- 3rd Period (0 - 0)
- Overtime (0 - 0)
- Penalties (0 - 1)
- 1, Razdyakonov V. (Penalty Shot),
- 1, Yemets I. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Gordin A. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Skorikov D. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Chernikov Y. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Golodnyuk S. (Penalty Shot),
- 4, Miller N. (Penalty Shot),
- 4, Mokin N. (Penalty Shot),
- 5, Zaytsev O. (Penalty Shot),
- 5, Aksenov A. (Penalty Shot),
Chances of winning
Norilsk
31.7% | Draw
23.6% | Gornyak-UGMK
44.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Norilsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Gornyak-UGMK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norilsk than the current prediction. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gornyak-UGMK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Norilsk - Gornyak-UGMK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.9 ↑
(2.7) |
3.91 ↑
(3.77) |
2.06 ↓
(2.21) |
8.6%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
What is the prediction for Norilsk - Gornyak-UGMK?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gornyak-UGMK will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norilsk won 3.
- Norilsk is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Gornyak-UGMK has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Gornyak-UGMK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Norilsk has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Norilsk won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:38. (average 3.1:3.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Norilsk won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:8. (average 4:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Norilsk won against Gornyak-UGMK?
Norilsk has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gornyak-UGMK won against Norilsk?
Gornyak-UGMK has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Norilsk - Gornyak-UGMK were as follows:
18.10.2025
Gornyak-UGMK
-
Norilsk
4:1
04.04.2025
Norilsk
-
Gornyak-UGMK
5:2
02.04.2025
Gornyak-UGMK
-
Norilsk
12:1
30.03.2025
Norilsk
-
Gornyak-UGMK
3:2
28.03.2025
Norilsk
-
Gornyak-UGMK
4:0
Latest results of Norilsk
Latest results of Gornyak-UGMK
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk (1) | CSK VVS (16) | 4 : 2 |
| 2 | Gornyak (8) | Perm (9) | 4 : 3 |
| 3 | Khimik (4) | Izhevsk (13) | 4 : 1 |
| 4 | Magnitka Magnitogorsk (5) | Torpedo Gorky (12) | 4 : 0 |
| 5 | HC Yugra (2) | Bars (15) | 4 : 1 |
| 6 | Omskie Krylia (7) | Chelmet Chelyabinsk (10) | 4 : 2 |
| 7 | Almetyevsk (3) | Dizel (14) | 4 : 2 |
| 8 | Ryazan (6) | Rubin Tyumen (11) | 4 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk (1) | Gornyak (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Khimik (4) | Magnitka Magnitogorsk (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | HC Yugra (2) | Omskie Krylia (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Almetyevsk (3) | Ryazan (6) | 1 : 1 |
