Result
0:1
18/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 8
- Referee: Wilson L. (Sco)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 1.73 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (306/402) | 85% (381/448) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 1.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.03 | 1.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (306/402) | 85% (381/448) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (28/63) | 50% (21/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (65/121) | 78% (86/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (2/21) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 1.35 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 50% (4/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 47 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.31 | -0.97 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Freckleton M. 🟨,
- 24', Jensen A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 63', Nisbet K. ↓, Lazetic M. ↑,
- 67', N'Lundulu D. ↓, Idowu R. ↑,
- 68', O'Hara M. ↓, Ayunga J. ↑,
- 69', Aouchiche A. ↓, Palaversa A. ↑,
- 69', Shinnie G. ↓, Polvara D. ↑,
- 69', Karlsson J. ↓, Keskinen T. ↑,
- 78', Molloy G. ↓, Dorrington A. ↑,
- 81', Richardson J. 🟥,
- 81', Palaversa A. 🟨,
- 82', Armstrong S. 🟨,
- 84', George S. 🟨,
- 88', Mandron M. ↓, McMenamin C. ↑,
- 90+1', John D. ↓, Tanser S. ↑,
- 90+6', 0 - 1, Lazetic M. ⚽, Palaversa A. (A),
- 90+7', Lazetic M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
St. Mirren 39.7% | Draw 29.1% | Aberdeen 31.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
St. Mirren - Aberdeen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.41 ↑ (2.29) |
3.28 ↓ (3.4) |
3.06 ↓ (3.06) |
4.6% (5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for St. Mirren - Aberdeen?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. St. Mirren will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Aberdeen will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St. Mirren: 2.5% – 64.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Mirren won 4.
- St. Mirren is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Aberdeen is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, St. Mirren has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in St. Mirren: Fraser M.
(Ankle Injury)
O'Hara M.
(Foot Injury)
- There will not play in Aberdeen: Tobers K.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. Mirren won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 30:28. (average 1.5:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, St. Mirren won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:11. (average 1.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has St. Mirren won against Aberdeen?
St. Mirren has won 7 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aberdeen won against St. Mirren?
Aberdeen has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between St. Mirren - Aberdeen were as follows:
03.05.2025
St. Mirren
-
Aberdeen
1:0
25.01.2025
Aberdeen
-
St. Mirren
0:3
23.11.2024
St. Mirren
-
Aberdeen
2:1
11.08.2024
Aberdeen
-
St. Mirren
3:1
02.03.2024
St. Mirren
-
Aberdeen
2:1
Latest results of St. Mirren
Latest results of Aberdeen
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 28:9 | 19 | 29 |
| 2 | Celtic | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16:8 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Hibernian | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 18:14 | 4 | 15 |
| 4 | Rangers | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12:10 | 2 | 15 |
| 5 | Falkirk | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 15:20 | -5 | 15 |
| 6 | Motherwell | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 16:13 | 3 | 14 |
| 7 | Dundee Utd | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 17:16 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | St. Mirren | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 10 |
| 9 | Aberdeen | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 7:11 | -4 | 10 |
| 10 | Kilmarnock | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 10 |
| 11 | Dundee FC | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9:19 | -10 | 9 |
| 12 | Livingston | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13:22 | -9 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )