Result
1:0
19/04/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 31
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Spain | WebDirecto |
Chances of winning
Mancha Real 60.8% | Draw 25.3% | Huétor Vega 13.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mancha Real has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mancha Real's performance.Huétor Vega has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Huétor Vega might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mancha Real than the current prediction. (-22.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mancha Real that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Huétor Vega than the current prediction. (+16.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Huétor Vega could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Mancha Real - Huétor Vega Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.83 ↓ (2.35) |
4.4 ↑ (2.92) |
8.01 ↑ (2.92) |
-10.1% (11%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mancha Real won 0.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Mancha Real may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Mancha Real won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.5:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mancha Real won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Mancha Real won against Huétor Vega?
Mancha Real has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Huétor Vega won against Mancha Real?
Huétor Vega has won 5 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mancha Real - Huétor Vega were as follows:
14.12.2025
Huétor Vega
-
Mancha Real
1:0
16.02.2025
Mancha Real
-
Huétor Vega
1:2
06.10.2024
Huétor Vega
-
Mancha Real
1:0
10.03.2024
Huétor Vega
-
Mancha Real
3:1
29.10.2023
Mancha Real
-
Huétor Vega
0:2
Latest results of Mancha Real
Latest results of Huétor Vega
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mijas Las Lagunas | 32 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 39:20 | 19 | 62 |
| 2 | Motril | 32 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 53:28 | 25 | 61 |
| 3 | Torre del Mar | 32 | 14 | 13 | 5 | 36:23 | 13 | 55 |
| 4 | Arenas Armilla | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37:26 | 11 | 54 |
| 5 | Churriana de la Vega | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 29:39 | -10 | 48 |
| 6 | Marbelli | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 34:27 | 7 | 48 |
| 7 | Torredonjimeno | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 37:35 | 2 | 47 |
| 8 | UD San Pedro | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 34:35 | -1 | 43 |
| 9 | Atletico de Porcuna | 32 | 13 | 4 | 15 | 39:37 | 2 | 43 |
| 10 | Huetor Vega | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 39:39 | 0 | 42 |
| 11 | Granada CF B | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 44:43 | 1 | 40 |
| 12 | CD Alhaurino | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 39:40 | -1 | 39 |
| 13 | Melilla B | 32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 29:29 | 0 | 38 |
| 14 | Mancha | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 28:35 | -7 | 36 |
| 15 | Huetor Tajar | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 37:42 | -5 | 34 |
| 16 | Martos | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 31:44 | -13 | 34 |
| 17 | CD Torreperogil | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 22:40 | -18 | 31 |
| 18 | El Palo | 32 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 26:51 | -25 | 24 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 9 (Play Offs: )
Relegation