Puebla U23 vs Toluca U23 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga MX U23 Puebla U23 - Toluca U23
Result
1:2 penalties
14/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MEXICO: Liga MX U23 - Clausura - Round 12

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 35', Gomez J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 73', 1 - 0, ,
  • 74', 🟨,
  • 76', 🟨,
  • 90+3', 1 - 1, ,
  • Penalties (4 - 5)
  • 1, (Pen),
  • 1, (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 2, (Pen),
  • 3, (Pen),
  • 3, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 4, (Pen),
  • 5, (Pen),
  • 5, (Pen),
  • 6, (Pen),
  • 6, (Pen),

Chances of winning


Puebla U23
23.4%
Draw
25.2%
Toluca U23
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.4% 28.5% 42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7% 27.8% 43.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Puebla U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Puebla U23's form might have worsened.
  • Toluca U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toluca U23's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puebla U23 than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Puebla U23, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toluca U23 than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toluca U23, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Puebla U23 - Toluca U23 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.92
    (3.12)
    3.65
    (3.21)
    1.79
    (2.18)
    8.8%
    (9.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX U23 (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX U23 (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Puebla U23 is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Toluca U23 in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • In this match Toluca U23 is a favorite.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Puebla U23 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.3:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Puebla U23 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Puebla U23 - Toluca U23 were as follows:
    22.10.2024 Toluca U23 - Puebla U23 2:1
    26.01.2024 Puebla U23 - Toluca U23 0:1
    31.10.2023 Toluca U23 - Puebla U23 2:0
    Latest results of Puebla U23
    Latest results of Toluca U23
    Draw
    Clausura - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Toluca U23 (1)Atl. San Luis U23 (8)2 : 0, 2 : 0
    2Cruz Azul U23 (3)Santos Laguna U23 (6)2 : 4, 1 : 1
    3Juarez U23 (2)Necaxa U23 (7)1 : 0, 0 : 0
    4Monterrey U23 (4)Pachuca U23 (5)1 : 1, 0 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1Toluca U23 (1)Santos Laguna U23 (6)4 : 0, 0 : 1
    2Juarez U23 (2)Pachuca U23 (5)2 : 1, 1 : 2

    Final
    1Toluca U23 (1)Juarez U23 (2)4 : 1, 1 : 1