Result
1:3
27/04/2026 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- QSL - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8 |
 Qatar | Shoof |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.86 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (337/397) | 85% (304/358) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.86 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (337/397) | 85% (304/358) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (18/31) | 66% (35/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (66/102) | 76% (67/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (5/24) | 14% (1/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.36 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 50% (8/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.38 | 0.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.62 | -0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Yassine I. ⚽,
- 43', Yassine I. 🟨,
- 43', Tannane O. 🟨,
- 43', Fayez A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 47', Udosen E. 🟨,
- 48', 0 - 2, Vlap M. ⚽,
- 57', 0 - 3, Draxler J. ⚽, Gannan S. (A),
- 58', Mance A. ↓, Kouassi J. E. ↑,
- 58', El Sayed A. ↓, Al Hajri S. ↑,
- 58', Diallo A. ↓, Tahif A. ↑,
- 68', Draxler J. ↓, Yansane S. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 3, Tannane O. ⚽, Udosen E. (A),
- 77', Udosen E. ↓, Hazaa A. ↑,
- 78', Laidouni N. 🟨,
- 80', Jarrar Y. ↓, Al Shammari M. ↑,
- 86', Mansour H. ↓, Ali T. ↑,
- 86', Exposito E. ↓, Amraoui A. ↑,
- 86', Yassine I. ↓, Mohammed H. ↑,
- 89', Gannan S. ↓, Abdelrahman Y. ↑,
- 90+3', Badredlin M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Umm-Salal
34.4% | Draw
25% | Al-Ahli Doha
40.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Umm-Salal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)Al-Ahli Doha has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umm-Salal than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ahli Doha than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Umm-Salal - Al-Ahli Doha Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.67 ↑
(2.52) |
3.67 ↓
(3.84) |
2.27 ↓
(2.38) |
8.8%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Umm-Salal - Al-Ahli Doha?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Umm-Salal will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Al-Ahli Doha will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 11 in the zone QSL (Relegation) and 9)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Umm-Salal won 4.
- Umm-Salal has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Al-Ahli Doha is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Umm-Salal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Umm-Salal won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:25. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Umm-Salal won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Umm-Salal won against Al-Ahli Doha?
Umm-Salal has won 7 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Al-Ahli Doha won against Umm-Salal?
Al-Ahli Doha has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Umm-Salal - Al-Ahli Doha were as follows:
15.02.2026
Al-Ahli Doha
-
Umm-Salal
2:4
29.12.2025
Al-Ahli Doha
-
Umm-Salal
0:3
11.04.2025
Al-Ahli Doha
-
Umm-Salal
0:1
23.11.2024
Umm-Salal
-
Al-Ahli Doha
0:3
29.02.2024
Al-Ahli Doha
-
Umm-Salal
1:2
Latest results of Umm-Salal
Latest results of Al-Ahli Doha
Qatar QSL Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al-Sadd | 22 | 14 | 3 | 5 | 56:30 | 26 | 45 |
| 2 | Shamal | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 39:28 | 11 | 40 |
| 3 | Al Rayyan | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 46:32 | 14 | 38 |
| 4 | Al-Gharafa | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 36:36 | 0 | 36 |
| 5 | Al-Duhail | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 40:27 | 13 | 33 |
| 6 | Qatar SC | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 34:32 | 2 | 32 |
| 7 | Al Arabi | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 37:41 | -4 | 32 |
| 8 | Al Wakra | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 32:36 | -4 | 27 |
| 9 | Al Ahli Doha | 22 | 8 | 2 | 12 | 34:43 | -9 | 26 |
| 10 | Al Sailiya | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 25:38 | -13 | 22 |
| 11 | Al-Shahaniya | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 22:39 | -17 | 21 |
| 12 | Umm-Salal | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 37:56 | -19 | 20 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
QSL (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Division 2
