Result
3:2
04/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 24
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 19', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 60', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 80', 2 - 2, ⚽,
- 89', 3 - 2, ⚽,
- 90+1', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Elvas
52.8% | Draw
27.2% | Serpa
19.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Elvas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Elvas's performance.Serpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Serpa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elvas than the current prediction. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serpa than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Elvas - Serpa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↓
(1.96) |
3.33 ↑
(3.2) |
4.55 ↑
(3.58) |
10.3%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 6).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Elvas could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Elvas won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Elvas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Elvas won against Serpa?
Elvas has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Serpa won against Elvas?
Serpa has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Elvas - Serpa were as follows:
07.12.2025
Serpa
-
Elvas
1:3
25.02.2024
Elvas
-
Serpa
1:0
01.11.2023
Serpa
-
Elvas
0:1
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louletano ✔ | 24 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 30:11 | 19 | 47 |
| 2 | Malveira | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 36:20 | 16 | 44 |
| 3 | Alverca B | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 43:32 | 11 | 41 |
| 4 | Juv. Evora | 24 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 31:22 | 9 | 40 |
| 5 | GD Alcochetense | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 30:20 | 10 | 37 |
| 6 | Lagoa | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 40:31 | 9 | 36 |
| 7 | Serpa | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 27:31 | -4 | 34 |
| 8 | Sintrense | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 26:24 | 2 | 34 |
| 9 | O Elvas CAD | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 33:29 | 4 | 32 |
| 10 | Moncarapachense | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 21:20 | 1 | 30 |
| 11 | Oriental | 24 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 26:33 | -7 | 28 |
| 12 | Portimonense B ✔ | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 17:37 | -20 | 22 |
| 13 | Vasco da Gama ✔ | 24 | 1 | 11 | 12 | 17:47 | -30 | 14 |
| 14 | Industria ✔ | 24 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 20:40 | -20 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louletano is Qualified for Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group
Portimonense B is Relegated to
Vasco da Gama is Relegated to
Industria is Relegated to
