Result
2:0
04/01/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group F - Round 18
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 11', 1 - 0, Kljajic D. ⚽,
- 37', 2 - 0, Kyeremateng N. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Fossombrone 55.8% | Draw 26.1% | Chieti 18.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fossombrone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fossombrone's performance.Chieti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chieti might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fossombrone than the current prediction. (-10.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fossombrone that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chieti than the current prediction. (+9.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chieti could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Fossombrone - Chieti Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.69 ↓ (2.02) |
3.62 ↑ (3.33) |
5.21 ↑ (3.25) |
5.9% (10.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )).
- Fossombrone is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Chieti has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Fossombrone might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fossombrone won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Fossombrone won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Fossombrone won against Chieti?
Fossombrone has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chieti won against Fossombrone?
Chieti has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Fossombrone - Chieti were as follows:
07.09.2025
Chieti
-
Fossombrone
1:1
12.01.2025
Fossombrone
-
Chieti
1:1
15.09.2024
Chieti
-
Fossombrone
0:1
17.03.2024
Fossombrone
-
Chieti
0:1
05.11.2023
Chieti
-
Fossombrone
3:2
Latest results of Fossombrone
Italian Serie D - Group F Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ancona | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 49:16 | 33 | 61 |
| 2 | Ostiamare | 26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 53:17 | 36 | 60 |
| 3 | Teramo | 26 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 51:22 | 29 | 58 |
| 4 | L Aquila | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 48:33 | 15 | 47 |
| 5 | Atletico Ascoli | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 47:27 | 20 | 45 |
| 6 | Vigor Senigallia | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 28:25 | 3 | 40 |
| 7 | Giulianova | 26 | 9 | 12 | 5 | 33:27 | 6 | 39 |
| 8 | Notaresco Calcio | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 29:24 | 5 | 38 |
| 9 | Fossombrone | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 20:24 | -4 | 33 |
| 10 | Unipomezia | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 32:34 | -2 | 32 |
| 11 | Maceratese | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 35:38 | -3 | 30 |
| 12 | Sora | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 33:39 | -6 | 30 |
| 13 | Termoli | 26 | 5 | 12 | 9 | 22:26 | -4 | 27 |
| 14 | Recanatese | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 28:48 | -20 | 21 |
| 15 | Calcio Chieti | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23:47 | -24 | 21 |
| 16 | San Marino Calcio | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 22:47 | -25 | 20 |
| 17 | Sammaurese | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27:57 | -30 | 18 |
| 18 | Castelfidardo | 26 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 22:51 | -29 | 15 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group F (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group F (Play Out: )
Relegation