Balzan vs Naxxar Lions – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
03/05/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Second stage - Play Out - Round 16
  • Where to Watch on TV:
maltaMaltaTVM Sport+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
67%33%
Total shots
134
Shots on target
33
Corner Kicks
112
Yellow Cards
31
Total shots
134
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
101
Corner Kicks
112
Goalkeeper Saves
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Hili B. , Bacanin M. ,
  • 51', Busuttil J. (Pen),
  • 52', Lukovic L. 🟨,
  • 57', 0 - 1, Maicon Souza ,
  • 65', Maicon Souza , Yasukaze I. ,
  • 70', Golovic D. , Ciappara D. ,
  • 70', Busuttil J. , Westendorf I. ,
  • 78', Lukovic L. , Ndombasi Tukilonga M. ,
  • 78', Blasco V. , Grech J. ,
  • 83', Farias E. , Bonanno G. ,
  • 86', 1 - 1, Dimeji A. ,
  • 90+1', Pulis N. 🟨,
  • 90+2', Hugo Santos , Hernandez A. ,
  • 90+4', Debono M. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Dimeji A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Balzan
40.5%
Draw
27.7%
Naxxar Lions
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.3% 28.1% 27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8% 27.8% 27.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Balzan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Naxxar Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Balzan than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naxxar Lions than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
  • Balzan - Naxxar Lions Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.25
    (2.07)
    3.28
    (3.25)
    2.87
    (3.31)
    9.9%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Balzan - Naxxar Lions?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Balzan will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 11 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Balzan won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
    • Balzan will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Balzan won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 31:11. (average 2.2:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Balzan won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:8. (average 2.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Balzan - Naxxar Lions were as follows:
    10.02.2025 Naxxar Lions - Balzan 0:3
    22.12.2024 Balzan - Naxxar Lions 2:1
    29.08.2024 Balzan - Naxxar Lions 2:0
    08.03.2024 Naxxar Lions - Balzan 1:1
    05.11.2023 Balzan - Naxxar Lions 1:2
    Latest results of Balzan
    27.04.2025 Paola Hibernians - Balzan 1:1
    13.04.2025 Balzan - Melita 3:1
    04.04.2025 Gżira United - Balzan 0:0
    28.03.2025 Gżira United - Balzan 0:0
    Latest results of Naxxar Lions
    Maltese Premier League Table
    Second stage - Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Floriana1174020:71325
    2Hamrun1164116:41222
    3Marsaxlokk1154212:12019
    4Naxxar1153320:18218
    5Valletta1145216:7917
    6Gzira1152414:12217
    7Sliema1144310:11-116
    8Birkirkara1134412:12013
    9Hibernians1132611:17-611
    10Zabbar1124513:15-210
    11Tarxien111379:21-126
    12Mosta111197:24-174

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