Result
0:1
29/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 24
- Referee: Herczeg A. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.82 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (263/394) | 72% (309/431) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.41 | 0.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.08 | 1.18 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (263/394) | 72% (309/431) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (22/76) | 31% (24/77) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 47% (43/91) | 49% (60/123) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (2/8) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 0.89 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 68 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.18 | 0.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.18 | 0.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 13', Goodrham T. 🟨,
- 13', 0 - 1, Vipotnik Z. ⚽, Tymon J. (A),
- 35', Widell M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 53', Inoussa Z. 🟨,
- 55', Harris L. ↓, Krastev F. ↑,
- 61', Inoussa Z. ↓, Ronald ↑,
- 61', Fulton J. ↓, Franco G. ↑,
- 66', Placheta P. ↓, Dembele S. ↑,
- 66', Prelec N. ↓, Lankshear W. ↑,
- 69', Currie J. 🟨,
- 73', Stamenic M. 🟨,
- 75', Eom J. 🟨,
- 76', Eom J. ↓, Yalcouye M. ↑,
- 77', Mills S. ↓, ter Haar Romeny O. ↑,
- 87', Widell M. ↓, Samuels-Smith I. ↑,
- 87', Galbraith E. ↓, Key J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Oxford United
34.9% | Draw
30% | Swansea City
35.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Oxford United have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Swansea City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford United than the current prediction. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Oxford United - Swansea City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.7 ↑
(2.68) |
3.12
(3.12) |
2.68 ↑
(2.66) |
6.4%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Oxford United - Swansea City?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Oxford will win (votes: 8 - 36.4%). Swansea will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 54.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 33.7% – 75.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Oxford (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 6 - 75%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 21 and 20).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oxford won 2.
- Recent form of Oxford has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Swansea has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Oxford: Brannagan C.
(Calf Injury)
ter Avest H.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Swansea: Benson M.
(International duty)
- There are questionable in Oxford: Phillips M.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Oxford won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.8:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Oxford won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Oxford United won against Swansea City?
Oxford United has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Swansea City won against Oxford United?
Swansea City has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Oxford United - Swansea City were as follows:
06.12.2025
Swansea City
-
Oxford United
2:0
03.05.2025
Swansea City
-
Oxford United
3:3
02.11.2024
Oxford United
-
Swansea City
1:2
21.07.2023
Oxford United
-
Swansea City
1:0
Latest results of Oxford United
Latest results of Swansea City
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 72:38 | 34 | 71 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 54:35 | 19 | 66 |
| 3 | Millwall | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 47:40 | 7 | 62 |
| 4 | Ipswich | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 59:34 | 25 | 60 |
| 5 | Hull | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 56:48 | 8 | 60 |
| 6 | Wrexham | 35 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 54:45 | 9 | 57 |
| 7 | Southampton | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 57:46 | 11 | 53 |
| 8 | Derby | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 52:46 | 6 | 51 |
| 9 | Watford | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 51 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 35 | 14 | 8 | 13 | 48:44 | 4 | 50 |
| 11 | Preston | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 41:40 | 1 | 49 |
| 12 | Birmingham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 46:46 | 0 | 49 |
| 13 | Sheffield Utd | 35 | 15 | 3 | 17 | 50:48 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Stoke | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 39:34 | 5 | 47 |
| 15 | QPR | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | 46:54 | -8 | 47 |
| 16 | Swansea | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 40:43 | -3 | 46 |
| 17 | Norwich | 35 | 13 | 6 | 16 | 47:44 | 3 | 45 |
| 18 | Charlton | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 33:44 | -11 | 41 |
| 19 | Portsmouth | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 34:44 | -10 | 39 |
| 20 | Blackburn | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 33:46 | -13 | 38 |
| 21 | West Brom | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 34:52 | -18 | 35 |
| 22 | Leicester | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 47:56 | -9 | 34 |
| 23 | Oxford Utd | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 31:47 | -16 | 32 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 35 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 21:71 | -50 | -7 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
