Olimpija Ljubljana vs Maribor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

08/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Olimpija Ljubljana
35.2%
Draw
27.5%
Maribor
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.5% 27.2% 31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 25.6% 29.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Olimpija Ljubljana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Olimpija Ljubljana's form might have worsened.
  • Maribor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maribor's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olimpija Ljubljana than the current prediction. (+8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Olimpija Ljubljana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maribor than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maribor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Olimpija Ljubljana - Maribor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.6
    (2.25)
    3.33
    (3.43)
    2.45
    (2.99)
    9.3%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 4 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olimpija won 1.
    • Olimpija has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Maribor is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Maribor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Olimpija won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Olimpija won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 1.3:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Olimpija Ljubljana - Maribor were as follows:
    23.11.2025 Maribor - Olimpija Ljubljana 1:1
    31.08.2025 Olimpija Ljubljana - Maribor 1:0
    03.05.2025 Olimpija Ljubljana - Maribor 1:2
    09.03.2025 Maribor - Olimpija Ljubljana 1:0
    10.11.2024 Olimpija Ljubljana - Maribor 0:0
    Latest results of Olimpija Ljubljana
    Latest results of Maribor
    28.02.2026 Maribor - Radomlje 2:2
    22.02.2026 Maribor - NK Bravo 2:0
    15.02.2026 Primorje - Maribor 0:2
    08.02.2026 Maribor - Koper 2:0
    04.02.2026 Domžale - Maribor N/A
    Slovenian PrvaLiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Celje23155358:233550
    2Maribor23126545:281742
    3Koper24126649:351442
    4O. Ljubljana23115734:28638
    5Bravo241041041:42-134
    6Radomlje2396835:40-533
    7Aluminij22841033:38-528
    8Primorje23531524:46-2218
    9Mura23461322:40-1818
    10Domzale18331217:38-2112

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Prva liga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. SNL