Result
1:0
17/03/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Pro - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Chile | Zapping Sports |
 Ecuador | Zapping, Zapping Sports, Zapping Sports+ |
 Peru | Zapping Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.62 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (384/458) | 75% (210/281) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 0.13 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (384/458) | 75% (210/281) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (39/72) | 38% (23/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (103/134) | 48% (34/71) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (3/21) | 16% (4/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.20 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 50% (3/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.13 | 1.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.13 | 0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 48', Alonso M. 🟨,
- 56', Fajardo J. 🟨,
- 60', Leguizamon N. 🟨,
- 63', Rivero G. ↓, Klimowicz M. ↑,
- 63', Leguizamon N. ↓, Ordonez J. ↑,
- 65', 1 - 0, Mejia E. ⚽, Fajardo J. (A),
- 66', Mejia E. ↓, Palacios D. ↑,
- 66', Clavijo E. ↓, Moreno L. ↑,
- 70', Diaz M. ↓, Mancinelli L. ↑,
- 70', Piedra M. ↓, Ibarra R. ↑,
- 77', Martinez F. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
- 77', Diaz M. ↓, Cacciabue J. ↑,
- 82', Fajardo J. ↓, Palacios B. ↑,
- 82', Vega E. ↓, Chacon J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
57.4% | Draw
26.5% | Deportivo Cuenca
16.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Universidad Católica del Ecuador's performance.Deportivo Cuenca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universidad Católica del Ecuador than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Cuenca than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Deportivo Cuenca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↓
(1.79) |
3.49 ↑
(3.41) |
5.7 ↑
(4.61) |
7.9%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Deportivo Cuenca?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Uni Católica will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Deportivo Cuenca will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Uni Católica: 15.4% – 84.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Deportivo Cuenca (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 3.
- Uni Católica has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Deportivo Cuenca is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Uni Católica may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Uni Católica is considered a favorite.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Uni Católica won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 1.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Uni Católica won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:8. (average 1.8:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Universidad Católica del Ecuador won against Deportivo Cuenca?
Universidad Católica del Ecuador has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Deportivo Cuenca won against Universidad Católica del Ecuador?
Deportivo Cuenca has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Deportivo Cuenca were as follows:
28.09.2025
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
Deportivo Cuenca
2:1
01.06.2025
Deportivo Cuenca
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
3:1
18.08.2024
Deportivo Cuenca
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
1:2
17.03.2024
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
-
Deportivo Cuenca
3:3
06.10.2023
Deportivo Cuenca
-
Universidad Católica del Ecuador
2:3
Latest results of Universidad Católica del Ecuador
Latest results of Deportivo Cuenca
Ecuadorian Liga Pro Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. del Valle | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Macara | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 9 |
| 3 | U. Catolica | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Tecnico U | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 8 |
| 5 | Libertad | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 | Barcelona SC | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | LDU Quito | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Dep. Cuenca | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Delfin | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3:3 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Orense | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 11 | Guayaquil City | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 5 |
| 12 | Emelec | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 4 |
| 13 | Manta | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Aucas | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 | Mushuc Runa | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
| 16 | Leones del Norte | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2:7 | -5 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Liga Pro (Placement Group: )
Liga Pro (Relegation Group: )
