Result
2:1 penalties
01/04/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX U23 - Clausura - Round 3
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 33', 1 - 0, Lopez H. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Leyva A. ↓, Calderon J. ↑,
- 52', Gutierrez B. 🟨,
- 60', Gonzalez I. 🟨,
- 70', Gonzalez I. ↓, Garcia D. A. ↑,
- 74', Reynoso D. ↓, Cruz R. ↑,
- 74', Arroyo J. ↓, Cervantes A. ↑,
- 77', Cervantes A. 🟨,
- 79', Avila A. 🟨,
- 83', Andrade E. ↓, Cisneros E. ↑,
- 83', Camacho Lastra R. E. ↓, Ben Rhouma A. ↑,
- 87', Fabricio ↓, Martin del Campo A. ↑,
- 89', Lopez H. 🟨,
- 90+1', 1 - 1, Alvarez A. ⚽,
- 90+3', 🟨,
- Penalties (4 - 3)
- 1, Virgen O. (Pen),
- 1, Guzman G. (Pen),
- 2, Carrera J. N. (Pen),
- 2, Saavedra Nevarez A. A. (Pen),
- 3, Orta E. (Pen),
- 3, Cisneros E. (Pen),
- 4, Araiza D. (Pen),
- 4, Gutierrez B. (Pen),
- 5, Martin del Campo A. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Mazatlan U23
24.2% | Draw
24.5% | Toluca U23
51.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mazatlan U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mazatlan U23's form might have worsened.Toluca U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toluca U23's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mazatlan U23 than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mazatlan U23, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toluca U23 than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toluca U23, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Mazatlan U23 - Toluca U23 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.78 ↑
(3.07) |
3.74 ↑
(3.5) |
1.78 ↓
(2.02) |
9.3%
(10.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX U23 (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).
- Recent matches Mazatlan U23 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Toluca U23 is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- Toluca U23 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Toluca U23 will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Mazatlan U23 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.3:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Mazatlan U23 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1
How many head-to-head matches has Mazatlan U23 won against Toluca U23?
Mazatlan U23 has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toluca U23 won against Mazatlan U23?
Toluca U23 has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mazatlan U23 - Toluca U23 were as follows:
17.07.2024
Toluca U23
-
Mazatlan U23
0:1
20.01.2024
Toluca U23
-
Mazatlan U23
2:0
10.11.2023
Mazatlan U23
-
Toluca U23
0:1
Latest results of Mazatlan U23
Latest results of Toluca U23
Draw
Clausura - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Toluca U23 (1) | Atl. San Luis U23 (8) | 2 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul U23 (3) | Santos Laguna U23 (6) | 2 : 4, 1 : 1 |
| 3 | Juarez U23 (2) | Necaxa U23 (7) | 1 : 0, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | Monterrey U23 (4) | Pachuca U23 (5) | 1 : 1, 0 : 3 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Toluca U23 (1) | Santos Laguna U23 (6) | 4 : 0, 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Juarez U23 (2) | Pachuca U23 (5) | 2 : 1, 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Toluca U23 (1) | Juarez U23 (2) | 4 : 1, 1 : 1 |
