Result
2:0
07/12/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga Women - Round 12
- Referee: Michel F. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | DAZN |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.76 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (343/464) | 61% (212/347) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (343/464) | 61% (212/347) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 21% (16/78) | 26% (18/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (55/97) | 43% (48/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.61 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (12/15) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.44 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.29 | -1.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 43', 1 - 0, Furst V. ⚽, Van Belle S. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Licina S. ↓, Frohlich C. ↑,
- 46', Gambone A. ↓, Mai F. ↑,
- 62', Elmazi L. ↓, Kopp L. ↑,
- 66', Baumgartel J. ↓, Meroni L. ↑,
- 75', Furst V. 🟨,
- 75', Pollak J. ↓, Gunster M. ↑,
- 83', Platner P. 🟨,
- 84', Flach P. 🟨,
- 86', Meissner J. 🟨,
- 89', Homann S. ↓, Svensson K. ↑,
- 90', Maier R. ↓, Potsi K. ↑,
- 90', Meissner J. ↓, Pucks L. ↑,
- 90+1', 2 - 0, Kopp L. ⚽, Potsi K. (A),
- 90+5', Van Belle S. ↓, Muggenburg L. ↑,
- 90+6', Gunster M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
SGS Essen
54.2% | Draw
24.8% | Nürnberg
20.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SGS Essen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Nürnberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for SGS Essen than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for SGS Essen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
SGS Essen - Nürnberg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.69 ↑
(1.61) |
3.7 ↓
(3.99) |
4.38 ↓
(4.86) |
8.9%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for SGS Essen - Nürnberg?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nürnberg (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga Women and 10).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Recently, SGS Essen has had a series of away games.
- In this match, SGS Essen is a strong favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, SGS Essen won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:0. (average 4.5:0).
- Including home match between the teams, SGS Essen won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.
How many head-to-head matches has SGS Essen won against Nürnberg?
SGS Essen has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nürnberg won against SGS Essen?
Nürnberg has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SGS Essen - Nürnberg were as follows:
14.04.2024
Nürnberg
-
SGS Essen
0:4
11.11.2023
SGS Essen
-
Nürnberg
5:0
Latest results of SGS Essen
Latest results of Nürnberg
German Bundesliga Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich W ✔ | 23 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 86:8 | 78 | 67 |
| 2 | Wolfsburg W ✔ | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 65:35 | 30 | 52 |
| 3 | Eintracht Frankfurt W | 23 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 57:38 | 19 | 45 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen W | 24 | 14 | 1 | 9 | 42:32 | 10 | 43 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim W | 23 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 45:29 | 16 | 41 |
| 6 | Werder Bremen W | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 32:35 | -3 | 37 |
| 7 | Freiburg W | 24 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 33 |
| 8 | Koln W | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 31:36 | -5 | 31 |
| 9 | Union Berlin W | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 40:45 | -5 | 30 |
| 10 | RB Leipzig W | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 38:45 | -7 | 27 |
| 11 | 1.FC Nurnberg W | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 28:54 | -26 | 19 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV W | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 25:54 | -29 | 18 |
| 13 | SGS Essen W | 24 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 21:59 | -38 | 15 |
| 14 | Jena W | 24 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 22:62 | -40 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage: )
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga Women
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bayern Munich W is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League Women (League phase )
Wolfsburg W is Qualified for Champions League Women (Qualification ~ First stage )
