Result
3:2
25/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.35 | 2.72 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 21 | 29 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 14.29% (3/21) | 6.9% (2/29) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 27 | 18 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 93.1% (27/29) | 85.71% (18/21) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 0% (0/1) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 0% (0/1) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 30 | 23 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 56.6 | 43.4 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 04:12, Karjalainen M. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (2 - 0)
- 08:44, 1 - 0, Talaja R. (G), Knihti F. (A), Riihinen P. (A2)
- 16:44, Beaucage A. (2 min),
- 17:47, 2 - 0, Fabre D. (G), Tammela J. (A), Nurmi P. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 2)
- 05:04, 2 - 1, Almari N. (G), Ruohomaa M. (A),
- 05:35, 3 - 1, Martel D. (G), Tammela J. (A),
- 06:06, Beaucage A. (Penalty Shot),
- 16:51, 3 - 2, Joki A. (G), Ikonen H. (A), Olsson A. (A2)
Chances of winning
Ässät
42.4% | Draw
23.7% | Lukko
33.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Ässät - Lukko Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↓
(2.27) |
4.04 ↓
(4.24) |
2.8 ↑
(2.62) |
5.7%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
What is the prediction for Ässät - Lukko?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ässät (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ässät won 0.
- Recent performances by Ässät have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Lukko is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Ässät may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ässät won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 30:61. (average 1.5:3.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ässät won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:28. (average 1.9:2.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Ässät won against Lukko?
Ässät has won 9 of their last 28 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lukko won against Ässät?
Lukko has won 19 of their last 28 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ässät - Lukko were as follows:
24.10.2025
Lukko
-
Ässät
5:3
21.08.2025
Ässät
-
Lukko
1:7
16.08.2025
Ässät
-
Lukko
0:4
01.08.2025
Lukko
-
Ässät
2:1
08.03.2025
Lukko
-
Ässät
2:0
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Assat | 19 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 60:40 | 38 |
| 2 | JYP | 18 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 72:50 | 38 |
| 3 | Tappara | 19 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 64:45 | 35 |
| 4 | Jukurit | 21 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 52:54 | 34 |
| 5 | SaiPa | 20 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 63:52 | 34 |
| 6 | Kiekko-Espoo | 20 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 58:57 | 32 |
| 7 | Lukko | 19 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 55:48 | 31 |
| 8 | KalPa | 18 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 56:54 | 31 |
| 9 | KooKoo | 19 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 62:61 | 30 |
| 10 | TPS Turku | 19 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 43:47 | 28 |
| 11 | Hameenlinna | 20 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 52:59 | 27 |
| 12 | Ilves | 20 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 56:69 | 24 |
| 13 | Karpat | 20 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 66:70 | 21 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 18 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 35:48 | 21 |
| 15 | Vaasan Sport | 18 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 45:54 | 20 |
| 16 | IFK Helsinki | 20 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 35:66 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
