Damir Dzumhur vs Mattia Bellucci – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
22/04/2026 at 06:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/64-finals

Match Stats

Aces
00
Double Faults
22
1st serve percentage
69%71%
1st serve points won
82% (28/34)59% (22/37)
2nd serve points won
47% (7/15)53% (8/15)
Break Points Saved
1/21/5
1st return points won
41% (15/37)18% (6/34)
2nd return points won
47% (7/15)53% (8/15)
Break Points Converted
4/51/2
Winners
1113
Unforced errors
2031
Net points won
100% (1/1)73% (11/15)
Service Points Won
71% (35/49)58% (30/52)
Return Points Won
42% (22/52)29% (14/49)
Total Points Won
56% (57/101)44% (44/101)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
00
Service games won
89% (8/9)56% (5/9)
Return games won
44% (4/9)11% (1/9)
Total games won
67% (12/18)33% (6/18)

Chances of winning


Damir Dzumhur
46.2%
Mattia Bellucci
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.4% 51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9% 48.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Damir Dzumhur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Mattia Bellucci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damir Dzumhur than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Damir Dzumhur, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mattia Bellucci, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Damir Dzumhur - Mattia Bellucci Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.08
    (1.98)

    1.77
    (1.85)
    4.5%
    (4.5%)
    What is the prediction for Damir Dzumhur - Mattia Bellucci?
  • Users Predictions: Damir Dzumhur will win (17 of 17 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Damir Dzumhur will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Dzumhur is ranked ATP: 84. Bellucci is ranked ATP: 78.
    • In recent matches, Dzumhur has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Bellucci is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Dzumhur may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • We predict that Bellucci will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Dzumhur won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Damir Dzumhur - Mattia Bellucci were as follows:
    08.08.2025 Mattia Bellucci - Damir Dzumhur 0:2
    24.04.2025 Damir Dzumhur - Mattia Bellucci 2:1
    Latest results of Damir Dzumhur
    Latest results of Mattia Bellucci
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bye
    2Bonzi B. (Q)Droguet T. (Q)2 : 1
    3Moller E. (Q)Cina F. (WC)2 : 0
    4ByeDiallo G. (32)
    5Norrie C. (19)Bye
    6Machac T.Comesana F.2 : 1
    7Bautista-Agut R.Tirante T. A.0 : 2
    8ByePaul T. (15)
    9Rublev A. (9)Bye
    10Zhang Z. (PR)Kopriva V.0 : 2
    11Sonego L.Lajovic D. (Q)0 : 2
    12ByeRinderknech A. (22)
    13Fonseca J. (27)Bye
    14Bergs Z.Cilic M.1 : 2
    15Jodar R. (WC)De Jong J.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (5)
    17Shelton B. (4)Bye
    18Prizmic D. (Q)Berrettini M.2 : 0
    19Basilashvili N. (Q)Ofner S.0 : 2
    20ByeEtcheverry T. M. (25)
    21Fils A. (21)Bye
    22Buse I.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    23Brooksby J.Nava E.0 : 2
    24ByeVacherot V. (14)
    25Lehecka J. (11)Bye
    26Tabilo A.Royer V.2 : 0
    27Muller A.Struff J-L.0 : 2
    28ByeMichelsen A. (33)
    29Griekspoor T. (29)Bye
    30Dzumhur D.Bellucci M.2 : 0
    31Faria J. (Q)Hurkacz H.0 : 2
    32ByeMusetti L. (6)
    33Bublik A. (8)Bye
    34Kypson P. (LL)Tsitsipas S.1 : 2
    35Trungelliti M. (LL)Merida Aguilar D. (Q)1 : 2
    36ByeMoutet C. (26)
    37Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Bye
    38Carreno-Busta P. (WC)Fucsovics M.2 : 1
    39Munar J.Shevchenko A.2 : 0
    40ByeRuud C. (12)
    41Cerundolo F. (16)Bye
    42Hanfmann Y.Giron M.2 : 1
    43Altmaier D.Cerundolo J. M.0 : 2
    44ByeDarderi L. (18)
    45Nakashima B. (28)Bye
    46Garin C. (LL)Blockx A.1 : 2
    47Gaubas V. (Q)Baez S.2 : 0
    48ByeAuger-Aliassime F. (3)
    49Medvedev D. (7)Bye
    50Marozsan F.Quinn E.2 : 0
    51Budkov Kjaer N. (Q)Opelka R. (RET.)0 : 0
    52ByeShapovalov D. (31)
    53Tien L. (17)Bye
    54Vallejo D. (Q)Dimitrov G.2 : 0
    55Ugo Carabelli C.Monfils G. (WC)2 : 0
    56ByeCobolli F. (10)
    57Khachanov K. (13)Bye
    58Landaluce M. (WC)Walton A.0 : 2
    59Popyrin A.Damm M. (Q)0 : 2
    60ByeMensik J. (23)
    61Humbert U. (30)Bye
    62Atmane T.Kecmanovic M.2 : 0
    63Borges N.Navone M.0 : 2
    64ByeZverev A. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Bonzi B. (Q)2 : 1
    2Moller E. (Q)Diallo G. (RET.) (32)1 : 0
    3Norrie C. (19)Machac T.2 : 1
    4Tirante T. A.Paul T. (15)2 : 0
    5Rublev A. (9)Kopriva V.0 : 2
    6Lajovic D.Rinderknech A. (22)0 : 2
    7Fonseca J. (WO.) (27)Cilic M.
    8Jodar R.De Minaur A. (5)2 : 0
    9Shelton B. (4)Prizmic D.1 : 2
    10Ofner S.Etcheverry T. M. (25)0 : 2
    11Fils A. (21)Buse I.2 : 1
    12Nava E.Vacherot V. (14)2 : 1
    13Lehecka J. (11)Tabilo A.2 : 1
    14Struff J-L.Michelsen A. (33)0 : 2
    15Griekspoor T. (29)Dzumhur D.2 : 0
    16Hurkacz H.Musetti L. (6)0 : 2
    17Bublik A. (8)Tsitsipas S.0 : 2
    18Merida Aguilar D.Moutet C. (26)2 : 0
    19Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Carreno-Busta P.2 : 0
    20Munar J.Ruud C. (12)0 : 2
    21Cerundolo F. (16)Hanfmann Y.2 : 0
    22Cerundolo J. M.Darderi L. (18)0 : 2
    23Nakashima B. (28)Blockx A.1 : 2
    24Gaubas V.Auger-Aliassime F. (3)0 : 2
    25Medvedev D. (7)Marozsan F.2 : 1
    26Budkov Kjaer N.Shapovalov D. (31)2 : 0
    27Tien L. (17)Vallejo D.0 : 2
    28Ugo Carabelli C.Cobolli F. (10)1 : 2
    29Khachanov K. (13)Walton A.2 : 0
    30Damm M.Mensik J. (23)0 : 2
    31Humbert U. (30)Atmane T.0 : 2
    32Navone M.Zverev A. (2)1 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Moller E.2 : 0
    2Norrie C. (19)Tirante T. A.2 : 0
    3Kopriva V.Rinderknech A. (RET.) (22)1 : 1
    4Fonseca J. (27)Jodar R.1 : 2
    5Prizmic D.Etcheverry T. M. (25)1 : 2
    6Fils A. (21)Nava E.2 : 0
    7Lehecka J. (11)Michelsen A. (33)2 : 0
    8Griekspoor T. (29)Musetti L. (6)0 : 2
    9Tsitsipas S.Merida Aguilar D.2 : 0
    10Davidovich Fokina A. (20)Ruud C. (12)0 : 2
    11Cerundolo F. (16)Darderi L. (18)2 : 0
    12Blockx A.Auger-Aliassime F. (3)2 : 0
    13Medvedev D. (7)Budkov Kjaer N.2 : 0
    14Vallejo D.Cobolli F. (10)
    15Khachanov K. (13)Mensik J. (23)
    16Atmane T.Zverev A. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Sinner J. (1)Norrie C. (19)
    2Kopriva V.Jodar R.
    3Etcheverry T. M. (25)Fils A. (21)
    4Lehecka J. (11)Musetti L. (6)
    5Tsitsipas S.Ruud C. (12)
    6Cerundolo F. (16)Blockx A.
    7Medvedev D. (7)TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2