Nantes vs Le Havre – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
22/02/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 23
  • Referee: Pignard J. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceDAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
italyItalyLigue 1+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoFOX One, Fox Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, Ligue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.330.58
Ball possession
29%71%
Total shots
96
Shots on target
21
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
56
Passes
63% (131/208)85% (445/523)
Yellow cards
43
Expected goals (xG)
1.330.58
xG on target (xGOT)
0.840.19
Total shots
96
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
23
Blocked shots
52
Shots inside the box
76
Shots outside the box
20
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
32
Corner kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
1718
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
04
Free kicks
1317
Passes
63% (131/208)85% (445/523)
Long passes
28% (13/46)46% (21/46)
Passes in final third
51% (42/82)57% (67/117)
Crosses
35% (6/17)27% (7/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.490.40
Throw ins
2529
Fouls
1713
Tackles
61% (14/23)50% (6/12)
Duels won
5464
Clearances
4427
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
11
xGOT faced
0.190.84
Goals prevented
0.19-0.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Zouaoui Y. (Own goal),
  • 14', Centonze F. 🟨,
  • 32', Gourna-Douath L. 🟨,
  • 34', 2 - 0, Ganago I. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Doucoure F. , Quetant K. ,
  • 46', Pembele T. , Samatta A. ,
  • 46', Machado D. , Tabibou D. ,
  • 53', Ganago I. , Guirassy B. ,
  • 62', Zouaoui Y. , Vinette E. K. ,
  • 63', Boufal S. , Kechta Y. ,
  • 63', Ali Youssef 🟨,
  • 65', Cozza N. 🟨,
  • 78', Tabibou D. 🟨,
  • 81', Leroux L. , Coquelin F. ,
  • 82', Kechta Y. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Vinette E. K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Nantes
39%
Draw
29.1%
Le Havre
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.5% 28.7% 29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6% 28.8% 29.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
  • Nantes - Le Havre Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.45
    (2.26)
    3.27
    (3.27)
    2.98
    (3.15)
    5%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Nantes - Le Havre?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Nantes will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%). Le Havre will win (votes: 11 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 22.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Le Havre: 29.1%70.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Le Havre (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Nantes (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - Nantes (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Nantes (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Le Havre (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 1.
    • Nantes is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Le Havre has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Le Havre may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Nantes: Abline M. (Yellow Cards) Amian K. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Le Havre: Sangante A. (Red Card) Seko A. (Ribs Injury) Toure A. (Knee Injury) Youte Kinkoue E. (Health problems) Zohouri G. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Le Havre: Vinette E. K. (Inactive)
    • We predict that Le Havre will win today's game, with odds of 2.96.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nantes won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nantes - Le Havre were as follows:
    08.11.2025 Le Havre - Nantes 1:1
    30.03.2025 Le Havre - Nantes 3:2
    24.11.2024 Nantes - Le Havre 0:2
    14.04.2024 Le Havre - Nantes 0:1
    26.11.2023 Nantes - Le Havre 0:0
    Latest results of Nantes
    13.02.2026 Monaco - Nantes 3:1
    07.02.2026 Nantes - Lyon 0:1
    31.01.2026 Lorient - Nantes 2:1
    25.01.2026 Nantes - Nice 1:4
    18.01.2026 Nantes - Paris FC 1:2
    Latest results of Le Havre
    15.02.2026 Le Havre - Toulouse 2:1
    08.02.2026 Le Havre - Strasbourg 2:1
    30.01.2026 Lens - Le Havre 1:0
    24.01.2026 Le Havre - Monaco 0:0
    18.01.2026 Rennes - Le Havre 1:1
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG24183353:193457
    2Lens24172545:212453
    3Lyon24143739:261345
    4Marseille24134751:331843
    5Lille24124837:31640
    6Rennes24117638:35340
    7Monaco24114940:36437
    8Strasbourg24105940:31935
    9Brest2496932:34-233
    10Lorient2489734:38-433
    11Toulouse2487933:28531
    12Angers24851122:30-829
    13Le Havre24681020:30-1026
    14Paris FC24681028:40-1226
    15Nice24661230:44-1424
    16Auxerre24461419:35-1618
    17Nantes24451522:41-1917
    18Metz24341722:53-3113

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