Chester vs Alfreton Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
10/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • National League North - Round 32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 28', 0 - 1, Ayres J. ,
  • 37', 1 - 1, Shrimpton F. ,
  • 42', 2 - 1, Woods C. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 47', 2 - 2, Cummings J. ,

Chances of winning


Chester
48.2%
Draw
27.2%
Alfreton Town
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55% 25% 20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6% 24.3% 19.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chester's form might have worsened.
  • Alfreton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chester than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chester, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alfreton Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Chester - Alfreton Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.92
    (1.66)
    3.4
    (3.66)
    3.77
    (4.59)
    8%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Chester - Alfreton Town?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Chester (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Chester will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 22 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chester won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Alfreton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Chester has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Chester is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Chester won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:17. (average 1.6:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chester won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:9. (average 1.9:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chester - Alfreton Town were as follows:
    21.10.2025 Alfreton Town - Chester 0:2
    18.01.2025 Chester - Alfreton Town 2:0
    24.08.2024 Alfreton Town - Chester 2:2
    01.04.2024 Chester - Alfreton Town 0:2
    21.11.2023 Alfreton Town - Chester 1:1
    Latest results of Chester
    07.02.2026 Bedford Town - Chester 1:2
    31.01.2026 Chester - Radcliffe 1:3
    27.01.2026 Marine - Chester 2:1
    20.01.2026 Spennymoor Town - Chester 1:2
    Latest results of Alfreton Town
    07.02.2026 Alfreton Town - Buxton Postponed
    27.01.2026 Alfreton Town - Chorley Postponed
    17.01.2026 Darlington - Alfreton Town 3:1
    English National League North Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1South Shields34238376:294777
    2AFC Fylde34243783:374675
    3Merthyr Town362031380:631763
    4Kidderminster331611645:351059
    5Darlington341681065:491656
    6Macclesfield32167958:471155
    7Radcliffe351741463:55855
    8Scarborough3614121049:44554
    9AFC Telford3514111068:482053
    10Chester3613111252:57-550
    11Marine321461243:48-548
    12Spennymoor331371344:57-1346
    13Buxton341361556:49745
    14Curzon Ashton351291456:63-745
    15Chorley341191454:52242
    16Worksop361181745:62-1741
    17Southport359121447:56-939
    18Bedford361091755:65-1039
    19Kingu2019s Lynn349111441:48-738
    20Oxford City35981842:54-1235
    21Peterborough Sports35962041:69-2833
    22Alfreton31881530:56-2632
    23Hereford29781435:50-1529
    24Leamington34572225:60-3522

          Promotion ~ National League
          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation