Mathys Erhard vs Naoki Nakagawa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
19/11/2023 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: YOKOHAMA (JAPAN) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - FINAL

Official Live

Chances of winning


Mathys Erhard
39.3%
Naoki Nakagawa
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48% 52%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7% 49.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mathys Erhard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mathys Erhard's form might have worsened.
  • Naoki Nakagawa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Naoki Nakagawa's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathys Erhard than the current prediction. (+11.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mathys Erhard, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naoki Nakagawa than the current prediction. (-11.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Naoki Nakagawa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Mathys Erhard - Naoki Nakagawa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.36
    (1.93)

    1.53
    (1.78)
    7.9%
    (8.1%)
    Preview Facts
    • Erhard is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Nakagawa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Nakagawa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Nakagawa will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Mathys Erhard
    27.10.2023 Mathys Erhard - Guido Ivan Justo Justo G. I. walkover
    Latest results of Naoki Nakagawa
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Nishikori K. (1)Ichikawa T. (Q)2 : 1
    2Jones L. R. (WC)Shin S.1 : 2
    3Jones M.Taguchi R. (Q)0 : 2
    4Chung H.Uchida K. (8)0 : 2
    5Crawford O. (4)Marcondes I. (Q)0 : 2
    6Yamasaki J. (Q)Mochizuki Y.0 : 2
    7Basing M.Shiraishi H.1 : 2
    8Oberleitner N.Hsu Y. H. (5)2 : 0
    9Shimizu Y. (6)Takahashi Y.2 : 0
    10Isomura K.Kusuhara Y. (Q)0 : 2
    11Santillan A.Imamura M. (WC)2 : 0
    12Bigun K. (JR)Ymer E. (RET.) (3)0 : 0
    13Uchiyama Y. (7)Huang T.2 : 0
    14Shin W.Vrbensky M. (Q)0 : 2
    15Zhukov M.Tabata R. (WC)2 : 0
    16Samrej K.Sakamoto R. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Nishikori K. (1)Shin S.
    2Taguchi R.Uchida K. (8)
    3Marcondes I.Mochizuki Y.
    4Shiraishi H.Oberleitner N.
    5Shimizu Y. (6)Kusuhara Y.0 : 2
    6Santillan A.Bigun K.2 : 0
    7Uchiyama Y. (7)Vrbensky M.2 : 0
    8Zhukov M.Sakamoto R. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3Kusuhara Y.Santillan A.
    4Uchiyama Y. (7)Sakamoto R. (2)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2