Leonesa vs Gimnástic de Tarragona – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
20/04/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 33
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpain3Cat, Esport3, FEF TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
146
Shots on target
63
Corner Kicks
72
Yellow Cards
45
Total shots
146
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
83
Corner Kicks
72
Goalkeeper Saves
24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Concha D. 🟨,
  • 36', Justo M. , Ruiz V. ,
  • 36', Satrustegui E. , Escobar A. ,
  • 39', Maestre S. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Sanz O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 55', Leal A. 🟨,
  • 56', 1 - 0, Escobar A. ,
  • 58', Torres R. , Jardi J. ,
  • 58', Concha D. , Fernandez P. ,
  • 64', 🟨,
  • 66', 2 - 0, Escobar A. (Pen),
  • 67', Perez G. , Gorostidi A. ,
  • 67', Oriol J. , Junca D. ,
  • 69', 🟨,
  • 70', 2 - 1, Narro V. ,
  • 73', Pastoriza P. , Calderon C. ,
  • 85', 🟨,
  • 86', 🟨,
  • 89', Chacon L. , Samanes S. ,
  • 90', Barri , Presa K. ,
  • 90+4', Antonin 🟨,

Chances of winning


Leonesa
53.4%
Draw
28.2%
Gimnástic de Tarragona
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.2% 30.1% 25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2% 30.1% 25.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leonesa's performance.
  • Gimnástic de Tarragona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimnástic de Tarragona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-9.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leonesa that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gimnástic de Tarragona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Leonesa - Gimnástic de Tarragona Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.73
    (2.08)
    3.29
    (3.05)
    5.04
    (3.57)
    7.9%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Leonesa - Gimnástic de Tarragona?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Leonesa will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
    • Recent matches Leonesa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Gimnàstic is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Leonesa will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Leonesa won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:10 (average 2.2:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Leonesa won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:0 (average 2.5:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Leonesa - Gimnástic de Tarragona were as follows:
    01.12.2024 Gimnástic de Tarragona - Leonesa 2:3
    28.04.2024 Leonesa - Gimnástic de Tarragona 3:0
    25.11.2023 Gimnástic de Tarragona - Leonesa 3:0
    Latest results of Leonesa
    12.04.2025 Tarazona - Leonesa 1:0
    05.04.2025 Leonesa - Arenteiro 1:0
    29.03.2025 Barcelona B - Leonesa 2:0
    09.03.2025 Leonesa - Zamora 1:1
    Latest results of Gimnástic de Tarragona
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife32199452:193366
    2Celta Vigo B32169752:421057
    3Real Madrid B321471151:411049
    4Zamora321310943:37649
    5Pontevedra321213738:241449
    6Barakaldo321212841:33848
    7Ponferradina321381136:28847
    8Unionistas321381145:42347
    9Lugo321112932:34-245
    10AD Merida321291142:45-345
    11Arenas Getxo321351438:47-944
    12Ath Bilbao B321281233:36-344
    13Racing Club Ferrol321261435:41-642
    14Real Aviles321171446:53-740
    15Ourense CF329101336:37-137
    16CF Talavera32981532:41-935
    17Guadalajara32981535:47-1235
    18Cacereno327131230:41-1134
    19Osasuna B32791623:38-1530
    20Arenteiro32691729:43-1427

          Promotion ~ LaLiga2
          Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
          Relegation