Paris Saint-Germain vs Bayern Munich – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Women
Result
1:3
20/11/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Champions League Women - League phase - Round 4
  • Referee: Pesu A. (Rou)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.551.66
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
96
Passes
82% (329/401)83% (327/393)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.551.66
xG on target (xGOT)
1.122.12
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
55
Shots inside the Box
1211
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
96
Touches in opposition box
2228
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
1319
Passes
82% (329/401)83% (327/393)
Long passes
41% (14/34)46% (22/48)
Passes in final third
62% (52/84)72% (67/93)
Crosses
17% (4/24)35% (6/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.381.12
Throw-ins
2015
Fouls
1913
Tackles
67% (12/18)63% (10/16)
Duels won
4851
Clearances
1436
Interceptions
65
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
2.121.12
Goals prevented
-0.880.12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Karchaoui S. ⚽, Ajibade R. (A),
  • 17', 1 - 1, Dallmann L. ⚽,
  • 34', 1 - 2, Tanikawa M. ⚽, Buhl K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 55', Ajibade R. ↓, Kanjinga M. ↑,
  • 66', Dallmann L. ↓, Sehitler A. ↑,
  • 68', Yaya 🟨,
  • 74', Caruso A. ↓, Damnjanovic J. ↑,
  • 77', Leuchter R. ↓, Morissaint L. ↑,
  • 77', Yaya ↓, Groenen J. ↑,
  • 85', Isabela ↓, Samoura T. ↑,
  • 85', Echegini J. ↓, Elimbi T. ↑,
  • 88', Harder P. ↓, Gilles V. ↑,
  • 89', 1 - 3, Damnjanovic J. ⚽,

Chances of winning


Paris Saint-Germain
25.7%		Draw
22.9%		Bayern Munich
51.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.4% 24% 45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7% 23.5% 46.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • Bayern Munich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bayern Munich's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
    •

    Paris Saint-Germain - Bayern Munich Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.56 ↑
    (3.07)    		 3.99 ↑
    (3.9)    		 1.85 ↓
    (2.05)    		 7.3%
    (7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Paris Saint-Germain - Bayern Munich?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 4 - 18.2%). Bayern will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 54.1% – 91.3%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - PSG (2.85) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.25 - PSG (2.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - PSG (2.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - PSG (3.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH +4 - Bayern (23.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Bayern Munich will win (6 of 8 users predict this - 75%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 14 high ROI users predict this event. PSG (votes: 7 - 50%). Bayern (votes: 7 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PSG won 1.
    • Recent performances by PSG have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Bayern is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Recently, Bayern has had a series of home games.
    • Bayern could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, PSG won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, PSG won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.8:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Paris Saint-Germain - Bayern Munich were as follows:
    30.01.2024 Bayern Munich - Paris Saint-Germain 2:2
    23.11.2023 Paris Saint-Germain - Bayern Munich 0:1
    Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
    12.11.2025 Manchester United - Paris Saint-Germain 2:1 ✺
    08.11.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Fleury 91 4:0
    01.11.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Le Havre 2:0
    19.10.2025 Strasbourg - Paris Saint-Germain 0:1
    16.10.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Real Madrid 1:2 ✺
    Latest results of Bayern Munich
    12.11.2025 Bayern Munich - Arsenal LFC 3:2 ✺
    07.11.2025 Bayern Munich - Union Berlin 4:0
    04.11.2025 Nürnberg - Bayern Munich 0:6
    01.11.2025 Bayern Munich - SGS Essen 4:1
    19.10.2025 Bayern Munich - Köln 5:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Atl. Madrid W (11)Manchester Utd W (6)0 : 2, 0 : 3
    2ByeBayern Munich W (4)
    3Paris FC W (10)Real Madrid W (7)0 : 2, 2 : 3
    4ByeBarcelona W (1)
    5Leuven W (12)Arsenal W (5)1 : 3, 0 : 4
    6ByeChelsea W (3)
    7Wolfsburg W (9)Juventus W (8)2 : 0, 2 : 2
    8ByeLyon W (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1Manchester Utd W (6)Bayern Munich W (4)
    2Real Madrid W (7)Barcelona W (1)
    3Arsenal W (5)Chelsea W (3)
    4Wolfsburg W (9)Lyon W (2)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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