Watford vs Burnley – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Championship
Result
1:2
18/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 43
  • Referee: Donohue M. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport 2
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 2
hungaryHungaryMatch 4, Net4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode
israelIsraelSport 2
japanJapanDAZN Japan
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 8
mexicoMexicoDisney+
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 2
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandViaplay
portugalPortugalSport TV6
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2
singaporeSingaporemio Sports 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
turkeyTurkeyExxen
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.051.95
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
1116
Shots on target
57
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
41
Passes
72% (215/298)88% (496/566)
Yellow Cards
74
Red Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
1.051.95
xG on target (xGOT)
1.252.23
Total shots
1116
Shots on target
57
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
510
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
12
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
41
Touches in opposition box
1022
Through passes
0% (0/1)50% (1/2)
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
317
Passes
72% (215/298)88% (496/566)
Long passes
45% (25/56)49% (21/43)
Passes in final third
51% (39/77)83% (158/191)
Crosses
56% (5/9)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.051.54
Fouls
173
Tackles
63% (10/16)58% (7/12)
Duels won
3848
Clearances Total
1512
Interceptions
1111
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
2.231.25
Goals prevented
0.230.25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Doumbia M. ⚽, Vata R. (A),
  • 43', 1 - 1, Flemming Z. ⚽, Anthony J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 58', 1 - 2, Brownhill J. ⚽, Mejbri H. (A),
  • 59', Sissoko M. 🟨,
  • 60', Sissoko M. 🟨,
  • 61', Flemming Z. 🟨,
  • 66', Cullen J. 🟨,
  • 66', Kayembe E. 🟨,
  • 69', Kayembe E. 🟨,
  • 69', Louza I. 🟨,
  • 72', Edwards M. ↓, Laurent J. ↑,
  • 75', Doumbia M. ↓, Bayo V. ↑,
  • 75', Vata R. ↓, Ince T. ↑,
  • 75', Ngakia J. ↓, Andrews R. ↑,
  • 84', Bayo V. 🟨,
  • 85', Abankwah J. ↓, Sierralta F. ↑,
  • 85', Louza I. ↓, Dele-Bashiru T. ↑,
  • 88', Flemming Z. ↓, Barnes A. ↑,
  • 90+7', Brownhill J. ↓, Sarmiento J. ↑,
  • 90+7', Andrews R. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Sarmiento J. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Trafford J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Watford
18.9%		Draw
27.3%		Burnley
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.6% 27.7% 47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6% 27.7% 47.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Watford's form might have worsened.
  • Burnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Burnley's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Watford, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burnley than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Burnley, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Watford - Burnley Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 5.07 ↑
    (3.85)    		 3.48 ↑
    (3.42)    		 1.77 ↓
    (1.99)    		 4.8%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

  • Watch this match and English League Championship with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : CBSSN
    •
    What is the prediction for Watford - Burnley?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Burnley will win (49 of 57 users predict this - 85.96%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.94% – 94.98%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Burnley will win (20 of 22 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Watford won 1.
    • Watford is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Burnley is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • In this match Burnley is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Watford: Baah K. (Injury) Chakvetadze G. (Injury) Ogbonna A. (Illness)
    • There will not play in Burnley: Agyei E. (Muscle Injury) Beyer J. (Hamstring Injury) Manuel Hedilazio B. (Ankle Injury) Ramsey A. (Knee Injury) Shelvey J. (Leg Injury) Tresor Ndayishimiye M. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Watford: Keben K. (Hamstring Injury)
    • Last 18 head-to-head matches Watford won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 18:23 (average 1:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Watford won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:14 (average 1.3:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Watford - Burnley were as follows:
    21.12.2024 Burnley - Watford 2:1
    14.02.2023 Burnley - Watford 1:1
    Latest results of Watford
    12.04.2025 West Bromwich Albion - Watford 2:1 ✺
    08.04.2025 Watford - Hull City 1:0 ✺
    05.04.2025 Bristol City - Watford 2:1 ✺
    29.03.2025 Watford - Plymouth Argyle 0:0 ✺
    15.03.2025 Oxford United - Watford 1:0
    Latest results of Burnley
    11.04.2025 Burnley - Norwich City 2:1 ✺
    08.04.2025 Derby County - Burnley 0:0 ✺
    05.04.2025 Coventry City - Burnley 1:2 ✺
    29.03.2025 Burnley - Bristol City 1:0 ✺
    15.03.2025 Swansea City - Burnley 0:2 ✺
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry35218672:383471
    2Middlesbrough35199754:351966
    3Ipswich34189760:342663
    4Millwall35188947:40762
    5Hull351861156:49760
    6Wrexham351512854:45957
    7Southampton3514111057:461153
    8Derby351491252:46651
    9Watford3513121045:41451
    10Bristol City351481348:44450
    11Preston3512131041:40149
    12Birmingham3513101246:46049
    13Sheffield Utd351531750:48248
    14Stoke351381439:34547
    15QPR351381446:54-847
    16Swansea351371540:43-346
    17Norwich351361647:44345
    18Charlton3510111433:44-1141
    19Portsmouth341091534:44-1039
    20Blackburn351081733:46-1338
    21West Brom35981834:52-1835
    22Leicester3510101547:56-934
    23Oxford Utd357111731:47-1632
    24Sheffield Wed ✔ 35182621:71-50-7

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
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