Geraldton Buccaneers vs Warwick Senators – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball Australian NBL1 West Geraldton Buccaneers - Warwick Senators
Result
81:78
23/08/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NBL1 West - Play Offs - Final

Chances of winning


Geraldton Buccaneers
46.9%
Warwick Senators
53.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.8% 48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51% 49%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Geraldton Buccaneers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • Warwick Senators has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Geraldton Buccaneers than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warwick Senators than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • Geraldton Buccaneers - Warwick Senators Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (1.77)

    1.78
    (1.9)
    5.6%
    (9.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 199.75
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
  • What is the prediction for Geraldton Buccaneers - Warwick Senators?
  • Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Warwick will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 99:101.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Geraldton won 4.
    • Geraldton is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Warwick is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Geraldton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Warwick might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Geraldton won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1012:974. (average 92:88.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Geraldton won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 533:525. (average 88.8:87.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Geraldton Buccaneers - Warwick Senators were as follows:
    09.08.2025 Geraldton Buccaneers - Warwick Senators 84:115
    13.07.2025 Warwick Senators - Geraldton Buccaneers 98:118
    24.05.2025 Geraldton Buccaneers - Warwick Senators 100:87
    08.06.2024 Geraldton Buccaneers - Warwick Senators 106:77
    04.05.2024 Warwick Senators - Geraldton Buccaneers 87:96
    Latest results of Geraldton Buccaneers
    Latest results of Warwick Senators
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Rockingham Flames (1)Willetton Tigers (4)102 : 121
    4Goldfields Giants (6)Mandurah Magic (7)109 : 95
    5Geraldton Buccaneers (2)Warwick Senators (3)84 : 115
    8Joondalup Wolves (5)East Perth Eagles (8)79 : 81

    Quarter-finals
    1Willetton Tigers (4)Bye
    2Geraldton Buccaneers (2)Goldfields Giants (6)93 : 70
    3Warwick Senators (3)Bye
    4Rockingham Flames (1)East Perth Eagles (8)111 : 88

    Semi-finals
    1Willetton Tigers (4)Geraldton Buccaneers (2)80 : 99
    2Warwick Senators (3)Rockingham Flames (1)99 : 97

    Final
    1Geraldton Buccaneers (2)Warwick Senators (3)81 : 78