Result
1:2
19/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group A - Round 32
Chances of winning
Varese
45.8% | Draw
28.3% | Derthona
25.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Varese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Derthona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varese than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derthona than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Varese - Derthona Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.99 ↑
(1.93) |
3.22 ↓
(3.35) |
3.52 ↓
(3.69) |
9.7%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Varese won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Varese could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Varese won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Varese won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Varese won against Derthona?
Varese has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Derthona won against Varese?
Derthona has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Varese - Derthona were as follows:
07.12.2025
Derthona
-
Varese
1:2
02.03.2025
Derthona
-
Varese
1:0
27.10.2024
Varese
-
Derthona
2:0
26.11.2023
Varese
-
Derthona
3:0
Latest results of Derthona
Italian Serie D - Group A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vado ✔ | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 69:24 | 45 | 78 |
| 2 | Ligorna ✔ | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 64:26 | 38 | 72 |
| 3 | AS Biellese ✔ | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 48:29 | 19 | 57 |
| 4 | Chisola | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 44:36 | 8 | 55 |
| 5 | Sestri Levante | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 54:34 | 20 | 54 |
| 6 | Varese FC | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 40:41 | -1 | 53 |
| 7 | Sanremese | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 37:30 | 7 | 49 |
| 8 | Valenzana | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 33:48 | -15 | 45 |
| 9 | Celle Varazze | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 41:47 | -6 | 44 |
| 10 | Saluzzo | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48:44 | 4 | 43 |
| 11 | Club Milano | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 43:49 | -6 | 42 |
| 12 | Imperia | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 36:44 | -8 | 41 |
| 13 | Cairese | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 29:34 | -5 | 40 |
| 14 | Derthona FbC | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 36:46 | -10 | 40 |
| 15 | Gozzano ✔ | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 37:42 | -5 | 39 |
| 16 | Asti ✔ | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32:42 | -10 | 35 |
| 17 | Lavagnese ✔ | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 30:49 | -19 | 27 |
| 18 | NovaRomentin ✔ | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 26:82 | -56 | 16 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Vado is Confirmed as championsnQualified for
Ligorna is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs )
AS Biellese is Qualified for Serie D ~ Group A (Play Offs )
Gozzano is Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out )
Asti is Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out )
Lavagnese is Relegated to
NovaRomentin is Relegated to
