Homburg vs St. Pauli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
05/12/2023 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: DFB POKAL - 1/8-FINALS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaOptus Sport
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2, Voyo
germanyGermanySky Sport, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top event
polandPolandEleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalEleven Sports 4
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomViaplay

Chances of winning


Homburg
10.3%
Draw
16.9%
St. Pauli
72.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
13.9% 18.7% 67.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.9% 17.4% 62.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Homburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • St. Pauli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St. Pauli's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Homburg than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (-10%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St. Pauli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Homburg - St. Pauli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    9.07
    (6.76)
    5.66
    (5.02)
    1.3
    (1.4)
    5.6%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Homburg - St. Pauli?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. St. Pauli will win (votes: 8 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for St. Pauli: 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Now both teams are in good shape.
    • Homburg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match St. Pauli is the unquestionable favorite.
    • There will not play in St. Pauli: Zoller S. (Muscle Injury)
    • Recently, the teams did not play each other.
    Latest results of Homburg
    Latest results of St. Pauli
    01.12.2023 St. Pauli - Hamburger SV 2:2
    25.11.2023 Hansa Rostock - St. Pauli 2:3
    10.11.2023 St. Pauli - Hannover 0:0
    03.11.2023 Elversberg - St. Pauli 0:2
    31.10.2023 St. Pauli - Schalke 04 2:1
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1EngersEintracht Frankfurt0 : 5
    2RW EssenDortmund0 : 1
    3Viktoria KolnPaderborn1 : 3
    4GrossaspachBayer Leverkusen0 : 4
    5DelmenhorstB. Monchengladbach2 : 3
    6MeuselwitzKarlsruher SC0 : 5
    7NorderstedtSt. Pauli0 : 1
    8Hansa RostockHoffenheim0 : 4
    9FC GuterslohUnion Berlin0 : 5
    10Arminia BielefeldWerder Bremen1 : 0
    11RegensburgFC Koln1 : 2
    12WehenBayern Munich2 : 3
    13CottbusHannover1 : 0
    14SandhausenRB Leipzig2 : 4
    15IllertissenNurnberg4 : 3
    16SaarbruckenMagdeburg1 : 3
    17BahlingerHeidenheim0 : 5
    18PirmasensHamburger SV1 : 2
    19HemelingenWolfsburg0 : 9
    20FC 08 HomburgHolstein Kiel0 : 2
    21HallescherAugsburg0 : 2
    22BFC DynamoBochum1 : 3
    23SG Dynamo DresdenMainz0 : 1
    24BraunschweigStuttgart4 : 5
    25Preussen MunsterHertha Berlin0 : 1
    26UlmElversberg0 : 1
    27LohneGreuther Furth0 : 2
    28RSV EintrachtKaiserslautern0 : 7
    29SchweinfurtDusseldorf2 : 4
    30LotteFreiburg0 : 2
    31LubeckDarmstadt1 : 2
    32Lokomotive LeipzigSchalke0 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Eintracht FrankfurtDortmund1 : 2
    2PaderbornBayer Leverkusen2 : 4
    3B. MonchengladbachKarlsruher SC3 : 1
    4St. PauliHoffenheim3 : 2
    5Union BerlinArminia Bielefeld2 : 1
    6FC KolnBayern Munich1 : 4
    7CottbusRB Leipzig1 : 4
    8IllertissenMagdeburg0 : 3
    9HeidenheimHamburger SV0 : 1
    10WolfsburgHolstein Kiel0 : 1
    11AugsburgBochum0 : 1
    12MainzStuttgart0 : 2
    13Hertha BerlinElversberg3 : 0
    14Greuther FurthKaiserslautern0 : 1
    15DusseldorfFreiburg1 : 3
    16DarmstadtSchalke4 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1DortmundBayer Leverkusen0 : 1
    2B. MonchengladbachSt. Pauli1 : 2
    3Union BerlinBayern Munich2 : 3
    4RB LeipzigMagdeburg3 : 1
    5Hamburger SVHolstein Kiel1 : 2
    6BochumStuttgart0 : 2
    7Hertha BerlinKaiserslautern6 : 1
    8FreiburgDarmstadt2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Bayer LeverkusenSt. Pauli3 : 0
    2Bayern MunichRB Leipzig2 : 0
    3Holstein KielStuttgart0 : 3
    4Hertha BerlinFreiburg1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Bayer LeverkusenBayern Munich
    2StuttgartFreiburg

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2