Result
5:3
03/05/2024 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- GERMANY: 3. Liga - Round 36
- Referee: Hildenbrand M. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | SportKlub |
 Croatia | SportKlub |
 Germany | Magenta Sport |
 Serbia | SportKlub |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 20 | 9 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 29 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 87 | 104 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 73 | 45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 18', 0 - 1, Girth B. ⚽, Castaneda S. (A),
- 32', Taffertshofer U. 🟨,
- 32', Esswein A. 🟨,
- 35', Bitter J. ↓, Feltscher R. ↑,
- 37', Thiel M. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 1, Beleme D. ⚽, Gozusirin T. (A),
- 2nd Half (4 - 2)
- 46', Stierlin N. ↓, Bakalorz M. ↑,
- 46', Egerer F. ↓, Herzog A. ↑,
- 46', Pledl T. ↓, Bakir A. ↑,
- 46', Esswein A. ↓, Kother T. ↑,
- 48', 1 - 2, Girth B. ⚽, Kother T. (A),
- 54', Girth B. ↓, Ginczek D. ↑,
- 56', 1 - 3, Castaneda S. ⚽, Engin A. (A),
- 63', Farrona-Pulido M. ↓, Drinkuth F. ↑,
- 63', Velasco R. ↓, Lehnfeld M. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 3, Drinkuth F. ⚽, Lehnfeld M. (A),
- 72', 3 - 3, Beleme D. ⚽,
- 76', Castaneda S. 🟨,
- 77', 4 - 3, Lehnfeld M. ⚽, Beleme D. (A),
- 83', Beleme D. ↓, Akono C. ↑,
- 83', Taffertshofer U. ↓, Varol Y. ↑,
- 90+4', 5 - 3, Gozusirin T. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Lübeck
26.3% | Draw
26% | Duisburg
47.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lübeck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lübeck's form might have worsened.Duisburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Duisburg's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lübeck than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lübeck, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (-6.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Duisburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lübeck - Duisburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.53 ↑
(2.83) |
3.6 ↑
(3.4) |
1.97 ↓
(2.38) |
6.8%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Lübeck - Duisburg?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Lübeck will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). Duisburg will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Duisburg: 21.4% – 67.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
- Duisburg will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Lübeck won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.
- Including matches at home between the teams Lübeck won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Lübeck won against Duisburg?
Lübeck has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Duisburg won against Lübeck?
Duisburg has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lübeck - Duisburg were as follows:
02.12.2023
Duisburg
-
Lübeck
1:0
Latest results of Duisburg
German 3 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | VfL Osnabruck ✔ | 36 | 23 | 7 | 6 | 61:30 | 31 | 76 |
| 2 | Cottbus | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 69:50 | 19 | 66 |
| 3 | Duisburg | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 65:48 | 17 | 66 |
| 4 | RW Essen | 36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 74:64 | 10 | 64 |
| 5 | Verl | 36 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 79:47 | 32 | 61 |
| 6 | Hansa Rostock | 36 | 16 | 13 | 7 | 65:43 | 22 | 61 |
| 7 | Alemannia Aachen | 36 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 67:56 | 11 | 58 |
| 8 | Munich 1860 | 36 | 15 | 11 | 10 | 53:48 | 5 | 56 |
| 9 | Wehen | 36 | 14 | 8 | 14 | 51:50 | 1 | 50 |
| 10 | Viktoria Koln | 36 | 15 | 5 | 16 | 50:49 | 1 | 50 |
| 11 | Regensburg | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 54:56 | -2 | 49 |
| 12 | Mannheim | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 57:67 | -10 | 49 |
| 13 | Stuttgart II | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 51:60 | -9 | 46 |
| 14 | Saarbrucken | 36 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 46:50 | -4 | 44 |
| 15 | Ingolstadt | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 58:54 | 4 | 43 |
| 16 | Hoffenheim II | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 62:67 | -5 | 40 |
| 17 | TSV Havelse ✔ | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 53:81 | -28 | 32 |
| 18 | Ulm ✔ | 36 | 9 | 5 | 22 | 46:74 | -28 | 32 |
| 19 | Aue ✔ | 36 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 47:68 | -21 | 30 |
| 20 | Schweinfurt ✔ | 36 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 34:80 | -46 | 21 |
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
VfL Osnabruck is Qualified for 2. Bundesliga
TSV Havelse is Relegated to
Ulm is Relegated to
Aue is Relegated to
Schweinfurt is Relegated to
