South Melbourne vs Dandenong City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:2
31/03/2026 at 04:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NPL Victoria - Round 7

Match Stats

Ball possession
62%38%
Total shots
258
Shots on target
103
Corner kicks
94
Total shots
258
Shots on target
103
Shots off target
155
Corner kicks
94

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (4 - 2)
  • 56', 1 - 0, Bonada N. ,
  • 73', 1 - 1, ,
  • 78', 2 - 1, ,
  • 82', 3 - 1, ,
  • 85', 4 - 1, ,
  • 90+4', 4 - 2, ,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


South Melbourne
56%
Draw
23.1%
Dandenong City
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.2% 25.1% 25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2% 24.6% 25.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • South Melbourne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in South Melbourne's performance.
  • Dandenong City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Melbourne than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with South Melbourne that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dandenong City than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • South Melbourne - Dandenong City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.66
    (1.89)
    4.02
    (3.7)
    4.45
    (3.61)
    7.8%
    (7.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for South Melbourne - Dandenong City?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. South Melbourne will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Dandenong City will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • EH -2 - Dandenong City (1.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Dandenong City (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dandenong City (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13 in the zone Relegation).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, South Melbourne won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Dandenong City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, South Melbourne has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, South Melbourne is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, South Melbourne won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.4:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, South Melbourne won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between South Melbourne - Dandenong City were as follows:
    04.07.2025 Dandenong City - South Melbourne 3:3
    31.03.2025 South Melbourne - Dandenong City 1:3
    19.07.2024 South Melbourne - Dandenong City 1:2
    19.04.2024 Dandenong City - South Melbourne 0:4
    Latest results of South Melbourne
    Latest results of Dandenong City
    Australian NPL Victoria Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1South Melbourne860214:8618
    2Oakleigh Cannons842216:13314
    3Hume City842214:12214
    4Heidelberg Utd842212:10214
    5Avondale FC841315:10513
    6Bentleigh Greens841310:6413
    7George Cross83419:6313
    8Melbourne City U21825114:10411
    9Preston Lions841314:1047
    10St Albans82157:17-107
    11Altona Magic81349:13-46
    12Dandenong City823311:14-35
    13Dandenong Thunder81258:11-35
    14Green Gully80354:17-133

          Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation