Result
2:1
18/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 8
- Referee: Pawson C. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, One Africa, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, SuperSport Blitz, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport Maximo 360 |
Albania | SuperSport 3 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD |
Australia | Stan Sport |
Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Mix |
Belgium | Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2 |
Benin | Benin TV, ORTB |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
Botswana | YTV |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Cameroon | CRTV Sports |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 7 DRM |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | Migu, QQ Sports |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Cote-d-ivoire | NCI |
Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
Czech-republic | CANAL+ Sport 7, CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay |
Denmark | Viaplay, Viaplay Sport News |
Eswatini | Eswatini TV |
Europe | Go3 Extra Sports Baltic |
Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
France | Canal+ Live 8 |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, Sky Sport Mix, WOW |
Greece | Nova Sports 2 |
Guinea | CIS |
Hong-kong | M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 3 |
Iceland | SÝN Sport 4 |
India | Disney+ Hotstar |
Indonesia | Vidio |
Israel | Sport 4 |
Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio |
Japan | U-NEXT |
Kenya | Gotv, K24 |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
Malaysia | Astro Go, Astro Premier League 2, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 2, Sooka |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 1 |
Mauritius | MBC 11 |
Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, HBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports |
Mongolia | Premier Sports 3 |
Myanmar | Canal+ Myanmar |
Nepal | Kantipur Max |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
New-zealand | Sky Sport 4 |
Nigeria | NTA Sports, SuperSport Blitz |
Norway | Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 2 |
Peru | Disney+ |
Portugal | DAZN / App |
Romania | Voyo |
Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
Singapore | Hub Premier 2 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 4 |
South-africa | SABC 3, SABC Plus, SABC Sport, SuperSport Variety 3 |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | DAZN 3, DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
Switzerland | Sky Sport Mix |
Tanzania | UTV |
Thailand | AIS PLAY |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
Uganda | NBS Sport 1 |
Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | Fubo Sports Network, NBC Sports App, NBC Universo, NBC, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW, USA Network |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
World | Sport 24 Extra |
Zambia | ZNBC 1 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.03 | 1.39 |
Ball Possession |
---|
46% | 54% |
Total shots |
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13 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
81% (344/423) | 85% (415/486) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.03 | 1.39 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.06 | 0.98 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 8 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 10 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
29 | 25 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
2 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
9 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
81% (344/423) | 85% (415/486) |
Long passes |
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38% (17/45) | 50% (19/38) |
Passes in final third |
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67% (78/117) | 78% (105/135) |
Crosses |
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22% (4/18) | 29% (7/24) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.06 | 1.31 |
Throw-ins |
---|
15 | 23 |
Fouls |
---|
9 | 9 |
Tackles |
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67% (14/21) | 75% (12/16) |
Duels won |
---|
57 | 48 |
Clearances |
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29 | 23 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 7 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
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0.98 | 1.06 |
Goals prevented |
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-0.02 | -0.94 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 36', Gomez D. ↓, De Cuyper M. ↑,
- 41', 1 - 0, Welbeck D. ⚽, Rutter G. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Joelinton ↓, Miley L. ↑,
- 46', Elanga A. ↓, Murphy J. ↑,
- 70', Gordon A. ↓, Barnes H. ↑,
- 70', Tonali S. ↓, Ramsey J. ↑,
- 71', Rutter G. ↓, Tzimas S. ↑,
- 71', Baleba C. ↓, Milner J. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 1, Woltemade N. ⚽, Miley L. (A),
- 84', 2 - 1, Welbeck D. ⚽,
- 86', Bruno Guimaraes ↓, Osula W. ↑,
- 90', Minteh Y. ↓, Coppola D. ↑,
- 90', Welbeck D. ↓, Kostoulas C. ↑,
- 90+7', Burn D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Brighton & Hove Albion 40.6% | Draw 28.3% | Newcastle United 31.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brighton & Hove Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)Newcastle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Brighton & Hove Albion - Newcastle United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.47 ↓ (2.51) |
3.64 ↑ (3.57) |
3.44 ↑ (2.7) |
-3% (4.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Brighton & Hove Albion - Newcastle United?
Users Predictions:
44 users predict this event. Brighton & Hove will win (votes: 10 - 22.7%). Newcastle will win (votes: 13 - 29.5%). It will Tie (votes: 21 - 47.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 32.9% – 62.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Brighton & Hove (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Newcastle (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%).
- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brighton & Hove won 3.
- Brighton & Hove has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Newcastle is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Brighton & Hove has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Gruda B.
(Knee Injury)
Hinshelwood J.
(Ankle Injury)
March S.
(Knee Injury)
Webster A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Newcastle: Hall L.
(Thigh Injury)
Livramento V.
(Knee Injury)
Wissa Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Brighton & Hove: Gomez D.
(Thigh Injury)
Veltman J.
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in Newcastle: Miley L.
(Calf Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brighton & Hove won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:18. (average 1.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Brighton & Hove won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.2:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Brighton & Hove Albion won against Newcastle United?
Brighton & Hove Albion has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Newcastle United won against Brighton & Hove Albion?
Newcastle United has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brighton & Hove Albion - Newcastle United were as follows:
04.05.2025
Brighton & Hove Albion
-
Newcastle United
1:1
02.03.2025
Newcastle United
-
Brighton & Hove Albion
1:2
19.10.2024
Newcastle United
-
Brighton & Hove Albion
0:1
11.05.2024
Newcastle United
-
Brighton & Hove Albion
1:1
02.09.2023
Brighton & Hove Albion
-
Newcastle United
3:1
Latest results of Brighton & Hove Albion
Latest results of Newcastle United
English Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Arsenal | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:3 | 12 | 19 |
2 | Manchester City | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17:6 | 11 | 16 |
3 | Liverpool | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 15 |
4 | Bournemouth | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:11 | 3 | 15 |
5 | Tottenham | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 14 |
6 | Chelsea | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16:9 | 7 | 14 |
7 | Sunderland | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 14 |
8 | Crystal Palace | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 13 |
9 | Brighton | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 12 |
10 | Everton | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 11 |
11 | Manchester Utd | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 10 |
12 | Newcastle | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 9 |
13 | Aston Villa | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 9 |
14 | Fulham | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 8 |
15 | Leeds | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:13 | -6 | 8 |
16 | Brentford | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 7 |
17 | Burnley | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 7 |
18 | Nottingham | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:15 | -10 | 5 |
19 | West Ham | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:16 | -10 | 4 |
20 | Wolves | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:16 | -11 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Championship