Result
1:1
31/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 15
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 48', 0 - 1, Busuulwa M. ⚽,
- 90', 1 - 1, Eturude A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Maroons
68.9% | Draw
21.1% | Mbarara City
10% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Maroons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maroons's performance.Mbarara City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mbarara City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maroons than the current prediction. (-9.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maroons that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mbarara City than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mbarara City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Maroons - Mbarara City Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.31 ↓
(1.6) |
4.28 ↑
(3.36) |
9.02 ↑
(5.04) |
10.7%
(12.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Maroons - Mbarara City?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Maroons (1.71) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- 1X2, 1st Half - Maroons (2.00) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Maroons will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Maroons will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Maroons (votes: 12 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Big League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maroons won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Mbarara City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Maroons is a strong favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Maroons won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.1:0.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Maroons won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Maroons won against Mbarara City?
Maroons has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mbarara City won against Maroons?
Mbarara City has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Maroons - Mbarara City were as follows:
05.12.2024
Mbarara City
-
Maroons
0:3
05.04.2024
Mbarara City
-
Maroons
0:0
02.12.2023
Maroons
-
Mbarara City
1:0
Latest results of Maroons
Latest results of Mbarara City
Ugandan Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vipers | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 42:14 | 28 | 50 |
| 2 | Kitara | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 34:13 | 21 | 46 |
| 3 | Kampala City | 21 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 34:17 | 17 | 45 |
| 4 | Villa | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 31:11 | 20 | 41 |
| 5 | Entebbe UPPC | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 18:13 | 5 | 36 |
| 6 | Police | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 31:23 | 8 | 35 |
| 7 | NEC FC | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 34 |
| 8 | BUL | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 24:20 | 4 | 30 |
| 9 | Maroons | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 17:15 | 2 | 26 |
| 10 | Express | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18:22 | -4 | 23 |
| 11 | URA SC | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 18:22 | -4 | 22 |
| 12 | Lugazi | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 15:30 | -15 | 18 |
| 13 | Mbarara City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 15:31 | -16 | 16 |
| 14 | Buhimba | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 15:44 | -29 | 15 |
| 15 | UPDF | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14:29 | -15 | 14 |
| 16 | Calvary | 21 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 7:36 | -29 | 5 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Big League
