Result
2:1
30/01/2026 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Round 20
- Referee: Jaussi J. (Sui)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 1.47 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (456/521) | 81% (353/434) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 1.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 1.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 17 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (456/521) | 81% (353/434) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (26/47) | 51% (29/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (109/145) | 63% (65/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/16) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.82 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (8/15) | 56% (10/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 29 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.42 | 1.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.42 | -0.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 27', 1 - 0, Itaitinga ⚽,
- 29', Ngana V. 🟨,
- 39', 1 - 1, Saliji R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Ngana V. ↓, Charveys A. ↑,
- 67', Schmidt J. ↓, Luthi J. ↑,
- 67', Rufli V. ↓, Boulkous N. ↑,
- 74', De Carvalho F. ↓, Giandomenico L. ↑,
- 75', Bossiwa S. ↓, Escorza T. ↑,
- 75', Kamberi F. ↓, Bakayoko A. ↑,
- 87', Saliji R. ↓, Ryter Y. ↑,
- 89', 2 - 1, Bua K. ⚽, Ricardo Alves (A),
- 90+3', Bua K. ↓, Sene O. ↑,
- 90+3', Caslei B. ↓, Fankhauser S. ↑,
- 90+3', Correia O. ↓, Essiena Avang L. ↑,
- 90+4', Luthi J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Étoile Carouge
41.2% | Draw
27.2% | Rapperswil-Jona
31.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Étoile Carouge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Rapperswil-Jona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Étoile Carouge than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rapperswil-Jona than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Étoile Carouge - Rapperswil-Jona Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.24 ↓
(2.45) |
3.4 ↑
(3.16) |
2.92 ↑
(2.73) |
8.3%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Étoile Carouge - Rapperswil-Jona?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 6 - 85.7%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Étoile won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Étoile: Felder V.
(Yellow Cards)
Harrington F.
(Injury)
Rufli V.
(Injury)
Walker M.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Rapperswil: Ambassa J.
(Inactive)
Pousa R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Rapperswil: Bakayoko A.
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Étoile won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Étoile won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Étoile Carouge won against Rapperswil-Jona?
Étoile Carouge has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rapperswil-Jona won against Étoile Carouge?
Rapperswil-Jona has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Étoile Carouge - Rapperswil-Jona were as follows:
21.11.2025
Étoile Carouge
-
Rapperswil-Jona
0:2
25.07.2025
Rapperswil-Jona
-
Étoile Carouge
1:0
11.11.2023
Étoile Carouge
-
Rapperswil-Jona
1:0
26.11.2022
Rapperswil-Jona
-
Étoile Carouge
0:3
Latest results of Étoile Carouge
Latest results of Rapperswil-Jona
Swiss Challenge League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vaduz | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 62:33 | 29 | 68 |
| 2 | Aarau | 29 | 21 | 2 | 6 | 60:40 | 20 | 65 |
| 3 | Yverdon | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 61:38 | 23 | 56 |
| 4 | Lausanne Ouchy | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 40 |
| 5 | Xamax | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 43:46 | -3 | 39 |
| 6 | Etoile-Carouge | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 35:42 | -7 | 33 |
| 7 | Wil | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 31:43 | -12 | 33 |
| 8 | Rapperswil-Jona | 29 | 10 | 2 | 17 | 38:50 | -12 | 32 |
| 9 | Stade Nyonnais | 30 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 29:42 | -13 | 28 |
| 10 | Bellinzona | 29 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 29:60 | -31 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Super League
Promotion ~ Super League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ Promotion League
