Result
3:1
08/02/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 21
- Referee: Carvalho H. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sporting TV, Sport TV2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', Simoes A. 🟨,
- 11', 0 - 1, Martins D. ⚽,
- 16', Mendes J. ↓, Pires M. ↑,
- 19', Ze Pedro 🟨,
- 30', Ze Pedro 🟨,
- 34', Fernandez P. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
- 40', 1 - 1, Vazquez J. ⚽, Simoes A. (A),
- 42', Kouassi E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Simoes A. ↓, Quintero L. ↑,
- 46', Kouassi E. ↓, Jair da Silva ↑,
- 64', 2 - 1, Drammeh M. ⚽, Leo Silva (A),
- 70', Munoz J. ↓, Michel D. ↑,
- 70', van der Gaag J. ↓, Lucho Vega ↑,
- 74', Pozo M. ↓, Alfaro A. ↑,
- 74', Drammeh M. ↓, Zohi K. ↑,
- 75', Marcelo 🟨,
- 79', Lucho Vega 🟨,
- 89', Alfaro A. 🟨,
- 90', Guilherme Liberato ↓, Casas A. ↑,
- 90', Jean D. ↓, Seydi I. ↑,
- 90+3', Michel D. 🟨,
- 90+6', Rodriguez G. 🟥,
- 90+7', 3 - 1, Mohamed D. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Torreense
39.7% | Draw
30.4% | Leiria
29.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Torreense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Leiria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torreense than the current prediction. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiria than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Torreense - Leiria Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.33 ↓
(2.45) |
3.04 ↑
(2.63) |
3.13 ↓
(3.54) |
7.9%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Torreense - Leiria?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Torreense will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Leiria will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Torreense: 30.4% – 86.2%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Torreense (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DNB - Leiria (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Torreense (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Leiria (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 8)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torreense won 3.
- Torreense is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Leiria has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Leiria may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Torreense will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Torreense won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Torreense won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.1:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Torreense won against Leiria?
Torreense has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leiria won against Torreense?
Leiria has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Torreense - Leiria were as follows:
11.01.2026
Torreense
-
Leiria
3:1
29.08.2025
Leiria
-
Torreense
1:0
06.04.2025
Leiria
-
Torreense
1:3
10.11.2024
Torreense
-
Leiria
2:1
03.08.2024
Torreense
-
Leiria
0:0
Latest results of Torreense
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 49:25 | 24 | 66 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 56:33 | 23 | 55 |
| 3 | Torreense | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 40:32 | 8 | 53 |
| 4 | Leiria | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 50:43 | 7 | 49 |
| 5 | Vizela | 32 | 13 | 9 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 48 |
| 6 | Feirense | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 34:36 | -2 | 45 |
| 7 | FC Porto B | 32 | 13 | 6 | 13 | 38:42 | -4 | 45 |
| 8 | Benfica B | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 43:40 | 3 | 44 |
| 9 | Leixoes | 32 | 13 | 5 | 14 | 42:53 | -11 | 44 |
| 10 | Lusitania FC | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 42:48 | -6 | 43 |
| 11 | Chaves | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 | 38:37 | 1 | 42 |
| 12 | Sporting CP B | 32 | 13 | 2 | 17 | 41:33 | 8 | 41 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 28:36 | -8 | 40 |
| 14 | SC Farense | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 30:35 | -5 | 39 |
| 15 | Penafiel | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 35:37 | -2 | 38 |
| 16 | Portimonense | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 37:48 | -11 | 36 |
| 17 | Pacos Ferreira | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 31:46 | -15 | 35 |
| 18 | Oliveirense | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 31:43 | -12 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
