Result
2:3
05/10/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Allsvenskan - Round 26
- Referee: Olofsson T. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | HBO Max, Veikkaus TV |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Sweden | Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 2, TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.34 | 1.71 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (289/372) | 84% (418/499) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.34 | 1.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 1.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (289/372) | 84% (418/499) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (27/56) | 47% (38/81) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (93/128) | 69% (75/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/23) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 3.97 | 1.30 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (17/27) | 82% (18/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.72 | 1.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.28 | -0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 15', 0 - 1, Mohammed R. ⚽, Liimatta O. (A),
- 18', Yohanna Z. ↓, Ayari T. ↑,
- 19', 0 - 2, Liimatta O. ⚽, Bjornstrom A. (A),
- 27', 0 - 3, Alsalkhadi M. ⚽, Bjornstrom A. (A),
- 32', Saletros A. 🟨,
- 36', Geiger Y. ↓, Flataker E. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Filling K. ↓, Hove J. ↑,
- 52', Shamoun N. ↓, Meriluoto K. ↑,
- 58', Isherwood T. 🟨,
- 62', 1 - 3, Flataker E. ⚽, Celina B. (A),
- 69', Ayari T. ↓, Kouame A. ↑,
- 69', Nissen F. ↓, Ali A. ↑,
- 74', Alsalkhadi M. ↓, Thern S. ↑,
- 82', 2 - 3, Flataker E. ⚽, Besirovic D. (A),
- 86', Johansson C. ↓, Antonsson M. ↑,
- 86', Liimatta O. ↓, Kujundzic A. ↑,
- 87', Besirovic D. 🟨,
- 90+6', Antonsen K. 🟨,
- 90+6', Celina B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
AIK
43.5% | Draw
29.7% | Värnamo
26.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
AIK - Värnamo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.08 ↑
(1.44) |
5.5 ↑
(4.58) |
5.93 ↓
(6.61) |
-40.5%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for AIK - Värnamo?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. AIK will win (votes: 10 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AIK: 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AIK won 5.
- AIK is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Värnamo has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, AIK is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in AIK: Andersson V.
(Injury)
Ellingsen M.
(Leg Injury)
Guidetti J.
(Injury)
Helm A.
(Injury)
Hove J.
(Calf Injury)
Nissen F.
(Injury)
Redkin A.
(Knee Injury)
Saletros A.
(Injury)
Thychosen M.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, AIK won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:7. (average 1.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, AIK won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:3. (average 2.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has AIK won against Värnamo?
AIK has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Värnamo won against AIK?
Värnamo has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between AIK - Värnamo were as follows:
24.04.2025
Värnamo
-
AIK
1:2
28.02.2025
AIK
-
Värnamo
2:0
31.08.2024
Värnamo
-
AIK
0:1
24.04.2024
AIK
-
Värnamo
2:0
12.11.2023
AIK
-
Värnamo
3:1
Latest results of Värnamo
Swedish Allsvenskan Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mjallby ✔ | 29 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 56:18 | 38 | 72 |
| 2 | Hammarby ✔ | 29 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 57:29 | 28 | 59 |
| 3 | GAIS ✔ | 29 | 14 | 10 | 5 | 44:28 | 16 | 52 |
| 4 | AIK | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 40:31 | 9 | 48 |
| 5 | Goteborg | 29 | 15 | 3 | 11 | 39:33 | 6 | 48 |
| 6 | Djurgarden | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 49:31 | 18 | 46 |
| 7 | Malmo FF | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 44:32 | 12 | 46 |
| 8 | Elfsborg | 29 | 12 | 4 | 13 | 45:48 | -3 | 40 |
| 9 | Sirius | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 50:50 | 0 | 36 |
| 10 | Hacken | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 42:49 | -7 | 35 |
| 11 | Halmstad | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 22:50 | -28 | 32 |
| 12 | Brommapojkarna | 29 | 9 | 4 | 16 | 39:44 | -5 | 31 |
| 13 | Norrkoping | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 40:55 | -15 | 29 |
| 14 | Degerfors | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 30:51 | -21 | 27 |
| 15 | Oster | 29 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 28:45 | -17 | 26 |
| 16 | Varnamo ✔ | 29 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 35:66 | -31 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Superettan
Clinched Spots for Teams
Mjallby is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
Hammarby is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
GAIS is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
Varnamo is Relegated to Superettan
