River Plate vs Boca Juniors – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
12/02/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LVA

Chances of winning


River Plate
42.2%
Boca Juniors
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.5% 51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6% 52.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • River Plate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that River Plate's form might have worsened.
  • Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Boca Juniors's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for River Plate than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for River Plate, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Boca Juniors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • River Plate - Boca Juniors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (1.91)

    1.6
    (1.8)
    7.7%
    (7.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 182.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 2.
    • In recent matches, River Plate has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Boca Juniors is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Boca Juniors might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, River Plate won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 1.8:2.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, River Plate won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1.3:2.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between River Plate - Boca Juniors were as follows:
    27.11.2025 Boca Juniors - River Plate 2:3
    12.02.2025 Boca Juniors - River Plate 3:2
    07.02.2025 River Plate - Boca Juniors 1:3
    02.11.2024 River Plate - Boca Juniors 0:3
    13.01.2024 River Plate - Boca Juniors 3:2
    Latest results of River Plate
    Latest results of Boca Juniors
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Ciudad Voley (1)Banfield (8)2 : 0
    2Boca Juniors (4)Tucuman De Gimnasia (5)0 : 2
    3UPCN (2)San Lorenzo de Almagro (7)2 : 0
    4Monteros (3)River Plate (6)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Ciudad Voley (1)Tucuman De Gimnasia (5)1 : 0
    2UPCN (2)Monteros (3)1 : 0