Result
20:20
17/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Challenge Cup - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | FloSports app |
 World | EPCR Rugby TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Conversion goals |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Conversion goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty goals |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Penalty goal attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres run with ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (10 - 10)
- 4', Aucagne A. (Penalty Goal),
- 22', (Penalty Try),
- 22', Ruiz I. 🟨,
- 25', Smith C. (Penalty Goal),
- 29', Oviedo J. (Try),
- 30', Aucagne A. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (10 - 10)
- 58', Smith C. (Penalty Goal),
- 64', Botha P. (Try),
- 65', Smith C. (Conversion Goal),
- 69', Duguivalu A. (Try),
- 70', Aucagne A. (Conversion Goal),
- 73', Aucagne A. (Penalty Goal),
Chances of winning
Perpignan
59.7% | Draw
4% | Lions
36.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Perpignan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Perpignan's performance.Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lions might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perpignan than the current prediction. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lions than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Perpignan - Lions Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↓
(1.69) |
23.54 ↑
(21.33) |
2.5 ↑
(2.22) |
8.6%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 46.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
What is the prediction for Perpignan - Lions?
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. Perpignan will win (votes: 2 - 100%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Perpignan (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 26:21.
Preview Facts
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Perpignan is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- We predict that Perpignan will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Perpignan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:28.
- Including home match between the teams, Perpignan won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:28.
How many head-to-head matches has Perpignan won against Lions?
Perpignan has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lions won against Perpignan?
Lions has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Perpignan - Lions were as follows:
10.12.2023
Perpignan
-
Lions
12:28
Latest results of Perpignan
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Ulster | Ospreys | 28 : 24 |
| 2 | Newcastle Red Bulls | Stade Rochelais | 18 : 26 |
| 3 | Benetton | Cardiff Rugby | 38 : 35 |
| 4 | Exeter Chiefs | Munster | 31 : 21 |
| 5 | Montpellier | USA Perpignan | 53 : 13 |
| 6 | Connacht | Sharks | 29 : 12 |
| 7 | Zebre | Section Paloise | 31 : 15 |
| 8 | Stade Francais Paris | Dragons | 31 : 36 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Ulster | Stade Rochelais | 41 : 24 |
| 2 | Benetton | Exeter Chiefs | 41 : 44 |
| 3 | Montpellier | Connacht | 45 : 22 |
| 4 | Zebre | Dragons | 32 : 35 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Ulster | Exeter Chiefs | |
| 2 | Montpellier | Dragons | |
Final
