Result
2:0
26/10/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 8
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 80', 2 - 0, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Montijo 44.2% | Draw 31.3% | Llerenense 24.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montijo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Montijo's performance.Llerenense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Llerenense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montijo than the current prediction. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llerenense than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Llerenense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Montijo - Llerenense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.29 ↓ (2.34) |
3.23 ↑ (3.08) |
4.14 ↑ (2.86) |
-1.1% (10.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 15).
- Montijo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Llerenense is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Montijo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:8. (average 0.3:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Montijo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Montijo won against Llerenense?
Montijo has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Llerenense won against Montijo?
Llerenense has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Montijo - Llerenense were as follows:
27.04.2025
Llerenense
-
Montijo
2:0
15.12.2024
Montijo
-
Llerenense
0:2
28.04.2024
Llerenense
-
Montijo
3:1
17.12.2023
Montijo
-
Llerenense
0:1
Latest results of Montijo
Latest results of Llerenense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Don Benito | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 50:15 | 35 | 51 |
| 2 | Moralo | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 38:24 | 14 | 44 |
| 3 | Jaraiz | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 39:23 | 16 | 42 |
| 4 | Cabeza del Buey | 24 | 10 | 11 | 3 | 30:17 | 13 | 41 |
| 5 | CD Badajoz | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 32:20 | 12 | 41 |
| 6 | Azuaga | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 34:24 | 10 | 40 |
| 7 | Villanovense | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 35 |
| 8 | Llerenense | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 25:25 | 0 | 34 |
| 9 | Jerez CF | 24 | 6 | 15 | 3 | 38:29 | 9 | 33 |
| 10 | Villafranca | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 28:29 | -1 | 33 |
| 11 | Montijo | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 26:27 | -1 | 31 |
| 12 | Puebla | 24 | 6 | 11 | 7 | 24:28 | -4 | 29 |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 23:32 | -9 | 29 |
| 14 | Gevora | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 22:36 | -14 | 23 |
| 15 | Diocesano | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 22:37 | -15 | 20 |
| 16 | CD Calamonte | 24 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 18:29 | -11 | 19 |
| 17 | Montehermoso | 24 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 17:44 | -27 | 15 |
| 18 | Pueblonuevo | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 17:46 | -29 | 14 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )
Relegation