Result
1:3
03/04/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 13
- Referee: Barba A. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 7', 0 - 1, Rodriguez J. ⚽, Melendre F. (A),
- 31', Torres E. 🟨,
- 36', Melendre F. 🟨,
- 39', 0 - 2, Trejo C. ⚽, Melendre F. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Galindo J. ↓, Pineda D. ↑,
- 46', Uribe H. ↓, Estopier J. ↑,
- 46', Melendre F. ↓, Preciado G. ↑,
- 49', 0 - 3, Campos K. ⚽,
- 66', Preciado G. ↓, Padilla E. ↑,
- 72', 1 - 3, Pineda D. ⚽,
- 74', Reyes R. 🟨,
- 76', Delgadillo Y. ↓, Arce R. ↑,
- 76', Catalan A. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
- 76', Uscanga P. ↓, Chavez A. ↑,
- 81', Torres E. 🟨,
- 85', El-mesmari B. ↓, Villatoro M. ↑,
- 85', Trejo C. ↓, Lopez L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Correcaminos UAT
34.8% | Draw
25.3% | Cancún
39.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Correcaminos UAT has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Correcaminos UAT's form might have worsened.Cancún has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cancún's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Correcaminos UAT than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Correcaminos UAT, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cancún than the current prediction. (-8.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cancún, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Correcaminos UAT - Cancún Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.67 ↑
(2.27) |
3.66 ↑
(3.59) |
2.33 ↓
(2.85) |
7.7%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Correcaminos UAT - Cancún?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Correcaminos (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Correcaminos (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Correcaminos won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Correcaminos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Correcaminos won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Correcaminos won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Correcaminos UAT won against Cancún?
Correcaminos UAT has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cancún won against Correcaminos UAT?
Cancún has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Correcaminos UAT - Cancún were as follows:
25.10.2025
Cancún
-
Correcaminos UAT
5:0
11.01.2025
Cancún
-
Correcaminos UAT
2:1
16.10.2024
Correcaminos UAT
-
Cancún
1:3
31.01.2024
Correcaminos UAT
-
Cancún
3:1
05.08.2023
Cancún
-
Correcaminos UAT
2:1
Latest results of Correcaminos UAT
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos ✔ | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Atl. Morelia | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Cancun | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:16 | 6 | 22 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 21:11 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | Tapatio | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 20 |
| 7 | Atlante | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 19 |
| 8 | Irapuato | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Tlaxcala | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 19 |
| 10 | Jaiba Brava | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 | Venados | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 |
| 13 | Correcaminos | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13:24 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 | Leones Negros | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14:27 | -13 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tepatitlan de Morelos is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
