Result
86:82
16/01/2026 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NBB
- Referee: de Jesus D. (Pur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | ESPN 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Field goals attempts |
|---|
| 58 | 59 |
| Field goals made |
|---|
| 31 | 31 |
| Field goals % |
|---|
| 53.45% | 52.54% |
| 2-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 40 | 39 |
| 2-point field goals made |
|---|
| 24 | 23 |
| 2-point field goals % |
|---|
| 60% | 58.97% |
| 3-point field goals attempts |
|---|
| 18 | 20 |
| 3-point field goals made |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| 3-point field goals % |
|---|
| 38.89% | 40% |
| Free throws attempts |
|---|
| 28 | 27 |
| Free throws made |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Free throws % |
|---|
| 60.7% | 51.9% |
| Offensive rebounds |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Defensive rebounds |
|---|
| 19 | 26 |
| Total rebounds |
|---|
| 26 | 40 |
| Assists |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Blocks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Turnovers |
|---|
| 16 | 24 |
| Steals |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Personal fouls |
|---|
| 22 | 25 |
Chances of winning
Basquete Cearense
63.3% | Botafogo
36.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Basquete Cearense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Botafogo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basquete Cearense than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Basquete Cearense that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Botafogo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Basquete Cearense - Botafogo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.48 ↑
(1.43) |
|
2.49 ↑
(2.44) |
7.8%
(10.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 161.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
What is the prediction for Basquete Cearense - Botafogo?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Botafogo (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -4.5, OT - Botafogo (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -5.5, OT - Botafogo (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -6.5, OT - Botafogo (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -7.5, OT - Botafogo (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -8.5, OT - Botafogo (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -9.5, OT - Botafogo (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -10.5, OT - Botafogo (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -4.5 - Botafogo (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5, OT - Botafogo (2.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5, OT - Botafogo (2.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -2.5, OT - Botafogo (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -3.5, OT - Botafogo (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Botafogo will win
(9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Botafogo (votes: 14 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 84:78.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cearense won 3.
- Both teams are on a losing streak in recent matches.
- Botafogo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Cearense has had a series of home games.
- Recently, Botafogo has had a series of away games.
- Cearense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Cearense won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 888:892. (average 74:74.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cearense won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 426:414. (average 71:69).
How many head-to-head matches has Basquete Cearense won against Botafogo?
Basquete Cearense has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo won against Basquete Cearense?
Botafogo has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Basquete Cearense - Botafogo were as follows:
20.10.2025
Botafogo
-
Basquete Cearense
80:84
20.01.2025
Botafogo
-
Basquete Cearense
74:83
27.10.2024
Basquete Cearense
-
Botafogo
52:77
14.02.2024
Basquete Cearense
-
Botafogo
84:75
18.12.2023
Botafogo
-
Basquete Cearense
90:86
Latest results of Basquete Cearense
Latest results of Botafogo
Brazilian NBB Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | L | | PCT |
| 1 | Pinheiros | 31 | 26 | 5 | 2678:2301 | 0.839 |
| 2 | Franca | 29 | 23 | 6 | 2587:2186 | 0.793 |
| 3 | Flamengo | 28 | 22 | 6 | 2434:2175 | 0.786 |
| 4 | Minas | 29 | 22 | 7 | 2527:2385 | 0.759 |
| 5 | Corinthians Paulista | 30 | 22 | 8 | 2540:2344 | 0.733 |
| 6 | Brasilia | 31 | 22 | 9 | 2522:2221 | 0.710 |
| 7 | Paulistano | 31 | 19 | 12 | 2566:2432 | 0.613 |
| 8 | Bauru | 32 | 19 | 13 | 2593:2513 | 0.594 |
| 9 | Sao Jose | 31 | 18 | 13 | 2554:2493 | 0.581 |
| 10 | Mogi | 31 | 17 | 14 | 2349:2173 | 0.548 |
| 11 | Uniao Corinthians | 30 | 16 | 14 | 2386:2437 | 0.533 |
| 12 | Unifacisa | 30 | 16 | 14 | 2411:2383 | 0.533 |
| 13 | Caxias do Sul | 31 | 14 | 17 | 2262:2381 | 0.452 |
| 14 | Cruzeiro | 31 | 11 | 20 | 2475:2658 | 0.355 |
| 15 | Rio Claro | 32 | 10 | 22 | 2506:2771 | 0.313 |
| 16 | Pato | 30 | 7 | 23 | 2204:2393 | 0.233 |
| 17 | Botafogo | 31 | 7 | 24 | 2249:2577 | 0.226 |
| 18 | Cearense | 32 | 6 | 26 | 2437:2799 | 0.188 |
| 19 | Osasco | 32 | 5 | 27 | 2439:2805 | 0.156 |
| 20 | Vasco | 32 | 5 | 27 | 2247:2539 | 0.156 |
Promotion ~ NBB (Play Offs: )
